Las Palmas vs Eldense Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gran Canaria
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.72
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Las Palmas
Eldense
24'
🟨 Javier Calleja
30'
🟨 Roberto López
31'
🟨 Justin Smith
35'
🟨 Jesús Clemente Corcho
60'
🟨 Juan Larios López
Alex Suárez 🟨
68'
79'
🟨 Alex Serradell Garralaga
89'
🟨 Jorge Martin Camunas
89'
🟨 Iker Recio Ortega
Alex Suárez (Iván Jaime) ⚽
90+5'
Jefte Betancor Sanchez (Sandro Ramírez) ⚽
90+8'
Jefte Betancor Sanchez 🟨
90+8'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
23
2
Yellow Cards
7
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Las Palmas (4-3-3)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
Juan Herzog
A. Rodriguez
Kirian Rodríguez
E. Loiodice
Manu Fuster
Iván Jaime
Jesé
T. Miyashiro
Eldense (4-2-3-1)
Ramón Vila
Jesús Clemente
Alex Serradell
Iker Recio
Juan Larios
Marcos Bustillo
J. Smith
Fidel
Roberto López
Jorge Rastrojo
M. Carmona
Player Ratings ?
Las Palmas
Valentín PezzolesiD7.5
Jefté BetancorF7.4
Iván JaimeF7.3
Eldense
Pau CabanesF6.6
Marcos BustilloM6.6
Aingeru OlabarrietaF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eldense edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eldense stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eldense slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Eldense stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Las Palmas have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Eldense have managed just two wins in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Eldense rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack. Over the 5-day comparison window, Las Palmas's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points, while Eldense's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Las Palmas
Las Palmas's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Las Palmas win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
43.6% → 46.0%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.0%
−0.1 pts
Eldense win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.4% → 27.0%
−2.4 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Las PalmasEldense
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
15th
12
Games Played
12
1.42
Points/Game
1.17
1.42
Goals/Game
1.08
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.42
9.9
Shots/Game
12.5
3.7
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Las Palmas at home (10 matches) vs Eldense away (8 matches)
1.70
Points/Game
0.75
1.10
Goals/Game
0.50
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.62
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Las Palmas
Home form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Eldense
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Eldense.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Las Palmasvs
Eldense
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.9%→Latest 55.3%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 58.7%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?