Granada vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Nuevo Los Cármenes
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.81
Draw
3.55
Away Win
4.63
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Granada edge recent form, attack and defence, Las Palmas edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Granada stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Granada stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Granada slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Las Palmas have recorded three away wins from their last five outings, while Granada have managed three victories in that same span at home. Granada have scored in all of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet in that period. Granada rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Las Palmas rate stronger on head-to-head. Las Palmas won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 2 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Granada's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Granada's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Las Palmas's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Granada
Granada's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Granada win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Granada win
Latest market chance 52.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
54.3% → 52.4%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 26.1%
+0.7 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 21.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.2% → 21.5%
+1.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+2+10−1Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Granada
Draw
Las Palmas
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Granada
Las Palmas
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
10th
12
Games Played
13
1.92
Points/Game
1.54
1.67
Goals/Game
1.46
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.62
14.4
Shots/Game
9.9
4.2
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Granada at home (7 matches) vs Las Palmas away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.71
1.86
Goals/Game
2.00
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.14
57%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Granada
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Las Palmas
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Granada Wins
1
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
2026-04-022025-2026
Las Palmas2 – 0Granada
2025-10-102025-2026
Granada0 – 0Las Palmas
2024-02-032023-2024
Granada1 – 1Las Palmas
2023-09-242023-2024
Las Palmas1 – 0Granada
2023-04-152022-2023
Granada2 – 1Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Granada
vs
Las Palmas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 52.5%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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