Girona vs Celta B Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadi Montilivi
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.38
Draw
4.92
Away Win
8.44
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Girona
Celta B
Vladyslav Vanat (Unai Hernández) ⚽
17'
Unai Hernández (Vladyslav Vanat) ⚽
20'
28'
🟥 Pablo González Meixús
Vladyslav Vanat ⚽ (P)
29'
Carles Pérez (Yaser Asprilla) ⚽
38'
41'
🟨 Hugo Cuenca
Vladyslav Vanat (Mateu Morey) ⚽
55'
59'
⚽ Óscar Marcos
77'
🟨 Jan Oliveras
90+1'
🟨 Joel Lopez
Christian Stuani 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
21
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
6
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Girona (4-2-3-1)
P. Gazzaniga
Mateu Morey
David López
Alejandro Francés
Álex Moreno
Fran Beltrán
I. Gonzalez
Y. Asprilla
Carles Pérez
Unai Hernández
V. Vanat
Celta B (3-4-2-1)
Coke Carrillo
P. Gavian
P. Meixus
K. Ribes
G. Miller
H. Cuenca
Adrià Capdevila
Joel López
O. Marcos
Ángel Arcos
A. Marin
Player Ratings ?
Girona
V. VanatF9.9
Unai HernándezM8.5
Carles PérezM8.2
Celta B
O. MarcosM7.2
A. MarinF6.4
Coke CarrilloG6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Girona
Girona rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Girona a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Girona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Girona have secured three victories from their last five home outings, whereas Celta B have managed only a single win and one draw across their most recent four away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept four clean sheets during that same period. Girona rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Girona a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Girona win
Latest market chance 69.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
68.9% → 69.6%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.9% → 18.2%
−0.7 pts
Celta B win
Latest market chance 12.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.2% → 12.2%
±0.0 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Girona
Celta B
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
14th
10
Games Played
10
1.80
Points/Game
1.20
1.70
Goals/Game
1.50
0.90
Conceded/Game
1.60
14.5
Shots/Game
11.6
4.8
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Girona at home (10 matches) vs Celta B away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.30
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.38
60%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Girona
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Celta B
Away form
D
W
L
L
Lost 2 of last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Celta B.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.25
Goals conceded
per match
2/4
Scored in
last 4
2/4
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Celta B.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Girona
vs
Celta B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
53.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 63.4%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.7%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…