Eldense vs Sabadell Head to Head | La Liga 2

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Eldense edge attack, Sabadell edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Closely matched

HomeAway

Attack

Eldense slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Sabadell slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

Eldense have enjoyed a solid run at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Sabadell are coming off the road having recorded two victories but also three defeats in their recent away fixtures. At home, Eldense have scored in four of their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Eldense hold a slight advantage in attack, while Sabadell hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Over the 5-day comparison window, Eldense's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Sabadell's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from Sabadell

Sabadell's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sabadell win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Eldense remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Eldense win

Latest market chance 39.1%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

37.2% → 39.1%

+1.9 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 30.7%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

29.3% → 30.7%

+1.4 pts

Sabadell win

Latest market chance 30.2%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

33.5% → 30.2%

−3.3 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

4 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Eldense

Draw

Sabadell

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Eldense

Sabadell

Season Profile

This season

15th

League Position

13th

Games Played

1.08

Points/Game

1.38

1.00

Goals/Game

0.92

1.46

Conceded/Game

0.85

12.5

Shots/Game

15.3

4.2

Shots on Target

3.8

Home vs Away Context

Eldense at home (8 matches) vs Sabadell away (10 matches)

1.75

Points/Game

1.00

1.88

Goals/Game

0.80

1.25

Conceded/Game

1.10

50%

Win Rate

20%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Eldense

Home form

Won 4 of last 5 at home

2.4

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Sabadell

Away form

Lost 3 straight away

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Sabadell.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Eldense

Sabadell

Recent Scoring Profile

1.50

Goals scored / game

0.80

1.50

Goals conceded / game

0.90

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

5/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

65.2%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

40.0%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

21.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

47.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 44.4%→Latest 40.0%−4.4 pts

Strong move away from 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 50.9%→Latest 47.4%−3.5 pts

Strong move away from both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Eldense vs Sabadell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis