Eldense vs Granada Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nuevo Pepico Amat
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.39
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.12
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Eldense
Granada
41'
🟨 Juanjo Flores
Juan Larios López 🟨
59'
60'
⚽ Rubén Alcaraz (Gerard Gumbau)
Jesús Clemente Corcho 🟨
69'
90+1'
⚽ Owen Emeka (Diego Varela Pampín)
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
2
17
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Eldense (4-4-2)
Ramón Vila
Jesús Clemente
Alex Serradell
F. Smand
Juan Larios
Fidel
Carlos Guirao
Javi Martínez
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Jorge Rastrojo
Marcos Bustillo
Granada (4-2-3-1)
Alberto Flores
Sergio López
Juan José Flores Castro
Manu Lama
Diego Pampín
Rubén Alcaraz
Gumbau
Sergio Rodelas
Pedro Alemañ
M. Gambin
Jorge Pascual
Player Ratings ?
Eldense
F. SmandD6.7
Alex SerradellD6.6
Marcos BustilloF6.6
Granada
Rubén AlcarazM8.2
Alberto FloresG7.8
GumbauM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eldense edge defence, Granada edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Granada stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Eldense stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Granada stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Eldense have secured four victories from their last five home outings, while Granada have recorded three wins in two losses across their recent away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Granada rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Eldense rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. Granada won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 31 January 2025, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Eldense's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Eldense's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Granada's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Eldense
Eldense's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Eldense win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eldense win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.6% → 40.8%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.9%
±0.0 pts
Granada win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.5% → 31.3%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eldense
Draw
Granada
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EldenseGranada
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
5th
11
Games Played
11
1.27
Points/Game
1.82
1.18
Goals/Game
1.64
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.27
12.5
Shots/Game
14.4
4.2
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Eldense at home (8 matches) vs Granada away (8 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.88
Goals/Game
1.50
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.12
50%
Win Rate
62%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eldense
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Granada
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eldense Wins
0
Draws
0
Granada Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
Eldense0 – 3Granada
Granada3 – 2Eldense
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eldensevs
Granada
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 50.1%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 55.1%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?