Eldense vs Cordoba Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nuevo Pepico Amat
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.93
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Eldense
Cordoba
11'
⚽ Rubén González Alves (Daniel Esmoris Tasende)
Carlos Guirao Mora 🟨
41'
Justin Smith 🟨
60'
61'
🟨 Ismael Ruiz Sánchez
Jorge Rastrojo (Carlos Guirao Mora) ⚽
62'
87'
🟨 Nelson Monte
Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo 🟨
90+1'
90+1'
🟨 Daniel Budesca
Fidel ⚽ (P)
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
5
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Eldense (4-4-2)
Juanpa
A. Ibarrondo
Alex Serradell
F. Smand
Juan Larios
Fidel
J. Smith
Carlos Guirao
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Jorge Rastrojo
Manu Nieto
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Iker Álvarez
Daniel Budesca
Nélson Monte
Rubén Alves
Dani Tasende
Eder García
Isma Ruiz
Adnane Ghailan
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Diego Bri
Player Ratings ?
Eldense
Jorge RastrojoF8.0
JuanpaG8.0
Jesús ClementeD7.3
Cordoba
Rubén AlvesD7.7
Nélson MonteD7.3
Dani TasendeD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eldense edge defence, Cordoba edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Eldense stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cordoba arrive at this venue with a poor away record of just one win from their last five outings, while Eldense have secured two victories and two draws in their corresponding home sample. Eldense have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Eldense rate stronger on defence, while Cordoba rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Eldense's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Cordoba's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Cordoba losing run
3
Cordoba points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Eldense
Eldense's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Eldense win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eldense win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 41.2%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.8% → 25.8%
−1.0 pts
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 33.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.6% → 33.0%
−1.6 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EldenseCordoba
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
15th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
1.13
1.00
Goals/Game
1.62
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
12.5
Shots/Game
15.8
4.2
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Eldense at home (8 matches) vs Cordoba away (10 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.10
1.88
Goals/Game
1.50
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
30%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eldense
Home form
D
D
L
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cordoba
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eldense Wins
0
Draws
1
Cordoba Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Eldense1 – 1Cordoba
Cordoba2 – 0Eldense
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eldensevs
Cordoba
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.3%→Latest 60.0%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.8%→Latest 62.9%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Eldense's 10 matches and 1 of Cordoba's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?