Eibar vs Mallorca Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.73
Draw
2.91
Away Win
3.04
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Eibar
Mallorca
19'
🟨 Antonio José Raíllo Arenas
52'
⚽ Adrian Fuentes (Adrian Liso)
54'
🟨 Zito Luvumbo
73'
🟨 Adrian Fuentes
81'
🟥 John Donald
83'
🟨 Abdón Prats
Javier Martón Ansó •
84'
Malcom Ares 🟨
90+1'
Iván Gil ⚽ (P)
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Jon Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla
Juan Bernat
Ander Madariaga
Aleix Garrido
Malcom Adu
Iván Gil
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Bautista
Mallorca (4-4-2)
Arnau Tenas
John Nwankwo
M. Valjent
Raíllo
Alberto Moreno
Zito Luvumbo
Álex Sala
Antonio Sánchez
Adrian Liso
Fuentes
Pablo Torre
Player Ratings ?
Eibar
Javi MartónF7.2
Malcom AduM7.1
Aleix GarridoM7.0
Mallorca
Arnau TenasG7.5
M. ValjentD7.2
FuentesF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eibar edge recent form and attack, Mallorca edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca have recorded just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Eibar boast a more impressive four victories in their most recent five home outings. At home, Eibar have scored in all of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Eibar rate stronger on form and attack, while Mallorca rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2020. Over the 5-day comparison window, Eibar's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Mallorca's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Eibar unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Eibar points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Eibar remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eibar win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.6% → 36.4%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.7% → 30.6%
+1.9 pts
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 33.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.7% → 33.0%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eibar
Draw
Mallorca
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EibarMallorca
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
2.33
Points/Game
1.89
2.11
Goals/Game
1.22
1.11
Conceded/Game
0.44
13.0
Shots/Game
13.2
5.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Eibar at home (8 matches) vs Mallorca away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.12
1.50
Goals/Game
0.62
1.12
Conceded/Game
0.75
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eibar
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mallorca
Away form
D
L
D
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eibar Wins
1
Draws
0
Mallorca Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Eibar1 – 2Mallorca
Mallorca2 – 1Eibar
Mallorca0 – 2Eibar
Eibar0 – 1Mallorca
Eibar1 – 2Mallorca
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eibarvs
Mallorca
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 45.1%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 51.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Mallorca's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?