Eibar vs Cadiz Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.62
Draw
4.08
Away Win
5.29
Match Prediction
Data favours
Eibar
Eibar rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Eibar a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cadiz have struggled on the road with no wins from their last five away outings, while Eibar remain unbeaten at home with just a single victory in that same span. Eibar have found the net in all five of their home matches but have conceded goals in every single one during this period. Eibar rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Eibar won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 1 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cadiz's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Eibar's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Cadiz's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Eibar a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Eibar unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Cadiz points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Eibar
Eibar's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Eibar win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eibar win
Latest market chance 57.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
57.0% → 57.8%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.0% → 23.9%
−0.1 pts
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 18.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.0% → 18.4%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eibar
Draw
Cadiz
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EibarCadiz
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
20th
12
Games Played
13
1.92
Points/Game
0.77
1.75
Goals/Game
1.23
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.38
13.0
Shots/Game
11.5
5.0
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Eibar at home (8 matches) vs Cadiz away (7 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.43
1.50
Goals/Game
1.14
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.86
38%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eibar
Home form
W
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cadiz
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eibar Wins
2
Draws
1
Cadiz Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
Eibar3 – 1Cadiz
Cadiz1 – 0Eibar
Cadiz0 – 0Eibar
Eibar1 – 0Cadiz
Cadiz1 – 0Eibar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eibarvs
Cadiz
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 53.9%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.3%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?