Eibar vs Almeria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.71
Draw
3.60
Away Win
2.57
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Eibar
Almeria
18'
⚽ Quim junyent (Sergio Arribas Calvo)
Aleix Garrido 🟨
35'
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
45+3'
68'
🟨 Álex Muñoz
Peru Nolaskoain 🟨
74'
75'
🟨 Stefan Džodić
Pejiño (Malcom Ares) ⚽
87'
90+6'
🟨 Marcos Luna
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
20
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Jon Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez
Peru Nolaskoain
Anaitz Arbilla
Juan Bernat
Ander Madariaga
Aleix Garrido
Malcom Adu
Iván Gil
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Bautista
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Andrés Fernández
Marcos Luna
Jorge Pulido
F. Bonini
Álex Muñoz
S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz
Quim Junyent
Sergio Arribas
B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente
Player Ratings ?
Eibar
PejiñoF7.8
Malcom AduM7.7
Imanol García de AlbénizD6.8
Almeria
Sergio ArribasM7.5
Quim JunyentM7.4
F. BoniniD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eibar edge attack and head-to-head, Almeria edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Almeria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Almeria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Almeria have shown strong away form with four wins from their last five outings on the road, while Eibar remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws in their recent five matches. At home, Eibar have scored in all of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Almeria hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while Eibar rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Eibar won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Almeria's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Eibar's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points, while Almeria's implied win probability has risen by 3.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Eibar unbeaten run
48%
Eibar yellow cards after 75'
12
Almeria points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Almeria
Almeria's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Almeria win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eibar win
Latest market chance 35.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.7% → 35.6%
−3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 27.2%
−0.6 pts
Almeria win
Latest market chance 37.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.5% → 37.2%
+3.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eibar
Draw
Almeria
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EibarAlmeria
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
2nd
11
Games Played
11
2.00
Points/Game
2.27
1.82
Goals/Game
2.00
1.18
Conceded/Game
0.82
13.0
Shots/Game
12.7
5.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Eibar at home (8 matches) vs Almeria away (9 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.89
1.50
Goals/Game
1.56
1.12
Conceded/Game
0.89
38%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eibar
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Almeria
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eibar Wins
3
Draws
1
Almeria Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Eibar1 – 0Almeria
Almeria3 – 1Eibar
Eibar1 – 0Almeria
Almeria2 – 2Eibar
Almeria0 – 2Eibar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eibarvs
Almeria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 54.8%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 58.9%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?