Cordoba vs Tenerife Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Mon 05 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
3.59
Away Win
4.16
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Cordoba
Tenerife
Eder Garcia (Cristian Carracedo) ⚽
3'
15'
🟨 Gerard Valentín
17'
⚽ Christian Pierre Louis Gomis (Ivan Chapela)
Diego Percan (Diego Bri) ⚽
23'
Rubén González Alves 🟨
27'
Cristian Carracedo 🟨
28'
28'
🟨 Enric Gallego
36'
🟨 Juanjo Sánchez
37'
🟨 Nacho Gil
45+3'
🟨 Anthony Landazuri
68'
⚽ Grant Leon Ranos (Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa)
Daniel Budesca 🟨
73'
Ismael Ruiz Sánchez ⚽
77'
Daniel Esmoris Tasende 🟨
86'
87'
🟥 Juanjo Sánchez
87'
🟨 Dani Martín
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
8
18
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Guilherme Fernandes
Daniel Budesca
Nélson Monte
Rubén Alves
Dani Tasende
Eder García
Isma Ruiz
Adnane Ghailan
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Diego Bri
Tenerife (4-4-2)
Dani Martín
César Álvarez
N. Viereck
A. Landázuri
David Rodríguez
Gerard Valentín
Fabricio
Juanjo
Iván Chapela
Enric Gallego
C. Gomis
Player Ratings ?
Cordoba
PercanF7.8
Isma RuizM7.7
Eder GarcíaM7.6
Tenerife
C. GomisF7.9
G. RanosF7.8
Iván ChapelaM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cordoba edge attack and head-to-head, Tenerife edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cordoba and Tenerife have both struggled in their respective recent outings, with each side recording just a single victory from five games at home and away respectively. At home, Cordoba has found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Tenerife rate stronger on form and defence, while Cordoba rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Cordoba won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 15 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Tenerife's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.0% → 49.3%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.8%
±0.0 pts
Tenerife win
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.9%
−0.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cordoba
Draw
Tenerife
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cordoba
Tenerife
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
1.57
1.43
Goals/Game
1.14
2.29
Conceded/Game
1.29
15.8
Shots/Game
10.0
5.3
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Cordoba at home (9 matches) vs Tenerife away (8 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.88
2.11
Goals/Game
1.38
1.11
Conceded/Game
2.00
78%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cordoba
Home form
D
W
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Tenerife
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cordoba Wins
4
Draws
1
Tenerife Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-10-042026-2027
Cordoba3 – 2Tenerife
2025-02-152024-2025
Tenerife2 – 3Cordoba
2024-12-082024-2025
Cordoba3 – 0Tenerife
2019-02-092018-2019
Tenerife0 – 2Cordoba
2018-09-222018-2019
Cordoba1 – 1Tenerife
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cordoba
vs
Tenerife
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
49.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
53.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 49.9%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 5
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 53.6%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 5
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Cordoba's 10 matches and 1 of Tenerife's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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