Cordoba vs Ceuta Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.52
Draw
4.85
Away Win
5.63
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Cordoba
Ceuta
9'
🟨 Anuar Mohamed Tuhami
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami ⚽ (OG)
23'
Diego Percan (Diego Bri) ⚽
25'
27'
🟨 Yann Bodiger
Diego Percan 🟨
40'
Diego Percan (Eder Garcia) ⚽
48'
Daniel Budesca 🟨
78'
Damián Cáceres Rodríguez 🟨
81'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
5
11
Corner Kicks
5
19
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Iker Álvarez
Daniel Budesca
Juan Gutiérrez
Rubén Alves
Dani Tasende
Eder García
D. Caceres
Adnane Ghailan
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Diego Bri
Ceuta (4-3-3)
Pedro López
A. Tuhami
Carlos Hernández
Albert Caparrós
José Matos
Álex Meléndez
Y. Bodiger
Marino Illescas
Kuki
Jordi Escobar
Cedric Teguia
Player Ratings ?
Cordoba
PercanF8.6
Iker ÁlvarezG8.4
Eder GarcíaM7.7
Ceuta
KukiF6.8
Cedric TeguiaF6.6
Pedro LópezG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Cordoba
Cordoba rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Ceuta edge head-to-head, giving Cordoba a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cordoba slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ceuta slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cordoba have enjoyed four wins from their last five home outings, while Ceuta remain winless in four of their five away matches with just a solitary draw to show for it. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games but have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent run. Cordoba rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Ceuta hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Ceuta won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 25 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Cordoba's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Cordoba's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Ceuta's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Cordoba a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Ceuta losing run
1
Ceuta points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Cordoba
Cordoba's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Cordoba win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
64.2% → 61.8%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.0% → 20.5%
+0.5 pts
Ceuta win
Latest market chance 17.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
15.8% → 17.7%
+1.9 pts
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CordobaCeuta
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
22nd
12
Games Played
12
1.33
Points/Game
0.42
1.58
Goals/Game
0.83
1.83
Conceded/Game
2.25
15.8
Shots/Game
15.7
5.3
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Cordoba at home (9 matches) vs Ceuta away (7 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.14
2.11
Goals/Game
0.57
1.11
Conceded/Game
3.00
78%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cordoba
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ceuta
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cordoba Wins
1
Draws
0
Ceuta Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.5
Ceuta3 – 2Cordoba
Cordoba2 – 0Ceuta
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cordobavs
Ceuta
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.1%→Latest 65.9%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.8%→Latest 61.2%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?