Ceuta vs Oviedo Head to Head | La Liga 2

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 2

Match Events

Ceuta

Oviedo

Alexander Petxarroman Eizagirre 🟨

20'

Marino Illesca 🟨

22'

23'

⚽ Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva (David Jimenez)

25'

🟨 David Jimenez

Jordi Escobar 🟨

43'

José Juan Romero Gil 🟨

56'

61'

⚽ Carlos Dominguez

Alejandro Camacho Ramírez ⚽

83'

Kuki Zalazar 🟨

90'

90+6'

🟨 Aritz Aldasoro

90+7'

🟨 Carlos Dominguez

Match Statistics

52%

Ball Possession

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Ceuta (4-2-3-1)

Pedro López

Alex Petxarroman

Carlos Hernández

Albert Caparrós

José Matos

Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro

Marino Illescas

E. Sevikyan

Kuki

K. Koné

Jordi Escobar

Oviedo (4-4-2)

Aarón Escandell

David Jiménez

Dani Calvo

Carlos Domínguez

S. Rodriguez

Mikel Goti

Aritz Aldasoro

Y. Didi

Enzo Perez

V. Mingo

Alberto Reina

Player Ratings

Ceuta

Pedro LópezG7.8

Marino IllescasM7.0

Alejandro Camacho RamírezM6.9

Oviedo

S. RodriguezD8.1

Carlos DomínguezD7.5

Pablo SáenzF7.0

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Oviedo edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Oviedo stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Oviedo slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Closely matched

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

Oviedo have secured two wins from their last five away outings, whereas Ceuta have managed just two victories and a single draw in their last five home games. Ceuta have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Oviedo rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Over the 6-day comparison window, Ceuta's implied win probability has risen by 2.5 percentage points, while Oviedo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Ceuta

Ceuta's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ceuta win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. Oviedo remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Ceuta win

Latest market chance 32.3%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

29.8% → 32.3%

+2.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 28.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

28.8% → 28.2%

−0.6 pts

Oviedo win

Latest market chance 39.5%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

41.4% → 39.5%

−1.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Ceuta

Draw

Oviedo

4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Ceuta

Oviedo

Season Profile

This season

21st

League Position

9th

Games Played

0.56

Points/Game

1.56

0.89

Goals/Game

1.22

2.22

Conceded/Game

1.00

15.7

Shots/Game

15.6

4.2

Shots on Target

5.2

Home vs Away Context

Ceuta at home (9 matches) vs Oviedo away (10 matches)

0.78

Points/Game

1.70

1.11

Goals/Game

1.70

1.67

Conceded/Game

1.80

22%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Ceuta

Home form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home

1.8

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Oviedo

Away form

Lost 3 straight away

1.4

Goals scored
per match

2.2

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Ceuta and Oviedo.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Ceuta

Oviedo

Recent Scoring Profile

1.10

Goals scored / game

1.50

1.80

Goals conceded / game

1.40

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

6/10

7/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

3/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

73.8%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

49.2%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

27.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

54.1%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 44.1%→Latest 50.3%+6.2 pts

Strong move towards 3+ goals

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 50.0%→Latest 54.5%+4.5 pts

Strong move towards both teams scoring

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Ceuta vs Oviedo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis