Cadiz vs Oviedo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Nuevo Mirandilla
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.83
Draw
3.35
Away Win
2.60
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Cadiz
Oviedo
22'
⚽ Estanis Pedrola (Enzo Pérez Miranda)
38'
⚽ Ilyas Chaira
44'
🟨 Youness Lachhab Didi
54'
🟨 Ilyas Chaira
Cristian Gutiérrez 🟨
66'
71'
🟨 David Jimenez
Beñat de Jesús Domingo 🟨
76'
78'
🟨 Enzo Pérez Miranda
Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (Antonio Cordero) ⚽
83'
Dilan Zárate 🟨
84'
Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 🟨
87'
90+3'
🟨 David Costas
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
16
4
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
Jokin Ezkieta
G. Gocholeishvili
Javi Castro
B. Kovačević
Sergio Arribas
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
A. Moueffek
Borja Vazquez
Ibon Sánchez
Antonio Cordero
Álvaro García
Oviedo (4-1-4-1)
Aarón Escandell
David Jiménez
Dani Calvo
Carlos Domínguez
S. Rodriguez
Y. Didi
I. Chaira
Mikel Goti
Enzo Perez
Estanis
A. Ișfan
Player Ratings ?
Cadiz
Antonio CorderoM7.7
Urko IzetaF7.2
Sergio ArribasD6.8
Oviedo
EstanisM7.9
Enzo PerezM7.4
I. ChairaM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cadiz edge defence and head-to-head, Oviedo edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cadiz stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cadiz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cadiz have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Oviedo have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Oviedo rate stronger on form and attack, while Cadiz rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Oviedo won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 1 June 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cadiz's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Cadiz's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points, while Oviedo's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Oviedo
Oviedo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oviedo win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 34.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.4% → 34.0%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.9% → 28.8%
−1.1 pts
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 37.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.7% → 37.2%
+1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cadiz
Draw
Oviedo
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cadiz
Oviedo
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
9th
12
Games Played
12
0.83
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
1.42
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.25
11.5
Shots/Game
15.6
3.5
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Cadiz at home (10 matches) vs Oviedo away (10 matches)
1.10
Points/Game
1.70
1.50
Goals/Game
1.70
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.80
30%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cadiz
Home form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Oviedo
Away form
L
L
W
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cadiz Wins
3
Draws
0
Oviedo Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2025-06-012024-2025
Oviedo2 – 1Cadiz
2024-10-262024-2025
Cadiz2 – 0Oviedo
2020-07-042019-2020
Cadiz2 – 0Oviedo
2019-12-152019-2020
Oviedo0 – 2Cadiz
2019-02-032018-2019
Oviedo2 – 1Cadiz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cadiz
vs
Oviedo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
72.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
27.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 47.8%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 52.7%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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