Albacete vs Sabadell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Carlos Belmonte
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.38
Draw
3.06
Away Win
3.47
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Albacete
Sabadell
2'
🟨 Óscar Sanz
Óscar Sanz ⚽ (OG)
10'
Diego Fuoli ⚽ (OG)
38'
José Corpas 🟥
42'
45+10'
🟨 Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
48'
🟨 Ángel Baena
Álex Rubio Roldán 🟨
73'
81'
⚽ Eneko Aguilar (Ángel Baena)
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
5
Total Shots
25
2
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Albacete (3-5-2)
Diego Mariño
Vallejo
Lluís López
Carlos Neva
Lorenzo Aguado
San Bartolomé
Antonio Pacheco
Sergio Ortu
Víctor Valverde
José Corpas
Higinio Marín
Sabadell (4-4-2)
Diego Fuoli
Ton Ripoll
Arthur Bonaldo
Óscar Sanz
José Luis Català
Ángel Baena
Urri
Q. Liameed
J. Priego
Y. Rahmani
Gastón Valles
Player Ratings ?
Albacete
Lluís LópezD6.8
Diego MariñoG6.7
Alex RubioF6.6
Sabadell
Eneko AguilarM7.4
Javi LópezM7.2
J. PriegoM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sabadell
Sabadell rate stronger in recent form and defence; Albacete edge head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Sabadell a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sabadell stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Sabadell stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sabadell have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away matches, whereas Albacete have endured a difficult run with four losses in their last five home fixtures. Albacete have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Sabadell rate stronger on form and defence, while Albacete rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Sabadell a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Albacete losing run
3
Albacete points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sabadell
Sabadell's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sabadell win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Albacete remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Albacete win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.7% → 40.2%
+3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.7% → 30.4%
+0.7 pts
Sabadell win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.6% → 29.4%
−4.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Albacete
Draw
Sabadell
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlbaceteSabadell

Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
10th
11
Games Played
11
0.36
Points/Game
1.55
0.73
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.82
12.2
Shots/Game
15.3
3.7
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Albacete at home (8 matches) vs Sabadell away (10 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.80
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.10
38%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Albacete
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Sabadell
Away form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Albacete Wins
1
Draws
2
Sabadell Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Sabadell0 – 0Albacete
Albacete3 – 0Sabadell
Albacete0 – 0Sabadell
Sabadell6 – 1Albacete
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Albacetevs
Sabadell

Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.60
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 42.8%−2.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.8%→Latest 50.0%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?