Albacete vs Celta B Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.13
Away Win
4.94
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Albacete edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Albacete stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Celta B have suffered five consecutive defeats on the road, while Albacete have secured three victories from their last five home outings. Albacete have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Albacete rate stronger on form and defence, while attack is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Albacete losing run
46%
Celta B yellow cards after 75'
0
Celta B points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Albacete win
Latest market chance 58.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.4% → 58.2%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.6% → 22.7%
+0.1 pts
Celta B win
Latest market chance 19.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.0% → 19.1%
+0.1 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlbaceteCelta B
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
16th
13
Games Played
13
0.77
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.46
1.85
Conceded/Game
1.92
12.2
Shots/Game
11.6
3.7
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Albacete at home (8 matches) vs Celta B away (8 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
0.50
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
1.62
Conceded/Game
2.38
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Albacete
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celta B
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Celta B.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Albacetevs
Celta B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 59.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?