Westerlo vs Charleroi Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Het Kuipje
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.95
Draw
3.85
Away Win
2.28
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 5
Match Events ?
Westerlo
Charleroi
25'
🟨 T. Rowe
C. Congreve 🟨
41'
58'
⚽ A. Scheidler
60'
⚽ F. Mbemba (A. Scheidler)
65'
⚽ P. Pflucke
72'
⚽ A. Scheidler (F. Mbemba)
N. Bassette (E. Tsimba) ⚽
74'
78'
🟨 P. Pflucke
P. Diong 🟥
87'
89'
⚽ (P) A. Bojang
Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
21
3
Shots on Goal
10
1
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Westerlo (4-2-3-1)
Andreas Jungdal
Lasse Flø
Botond Balogh
Seiji Kimura
Fabio Ferraro
Ibrahim Fofana
Cisse Sandra
Cameron Congreve
Isa Sakamoto
Shunsuke Saito
Norman Bassette
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
Mohamed Koné
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Aiham Ousou
Noah Solheid
Triston Rowe
Yassine Khalifi
Mory Kera
Patrick Pflücke
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Freddy Mbemba
Aurélien Scheidler
Player Ratings ?
Westerlo
Norman BassetteF7.3
Botond BaloghD7.2
Isa SakamotoM6.9
Charleroi
Aurélien ScheidlerF9.5
Patrick PflückeM8.2
Adama BojangF7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Westerlo edge attack and head-to-head, Charleroi edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Westerlo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Westerlo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charleroi arrive with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, while Westerlo have mixed matters at home with two victories and two draws in the same span. Westerlo have found the net in every one of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that identical run. Charleroi rate stronger on form and defence, while Westerlo rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Westerlo won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 16 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Charleroi's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Westerlo unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
62%
Charleroi yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Westerlo win
Latest market chance 32.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.8%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.6%
−0.2 pts
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 41.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.5% → 41.6%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Westerlo
Draw
Charleroi
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WesterloCharleroi
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
1.40
Points/Game
2.40
2.50
Goals/Game
2.10
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.20
14.4
Shots/Game
17.5
5.1
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Westerlo at home (6 matches) vs Charleroi away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.50
2.83
Goals/Game
1.83
3.17
Conceded/Game
0.83
33%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Westerlo
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charleroi
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Westerlo Wins
3
Draws
0
Charleroi Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Charleroi0 – 1Westerlo
Westerlo2 – 0Charleroi
Westerlo2 – 1Charleroi
Charleroi2 – 0Westerlo
Charleroi4 – 3Westerlo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Westerlovs
Charleroi
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 59.9%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 62.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?