St Truiden vs Waregem Head to Head | Belgian First Division A

Match Report

Full Time

4 – 1

Match Events

St Truiden

Waregem

S. Shinkawa ⚽

N. Ishiwatari (R. Vanwesemael) ⚽

12'

14'

⚽ Z. Atrok

27'

🟨 Z. Atrok

42'

🟨 F. Tangala

45'

🟨 E. Lofolomo

I. Sebaoui ⚽ (P)

64'

K. Matsuzawa (A. Sissako) ⚽

66'

74'

🟥 Y. Mbodji

Match Statistics

68%

Ball Possession

32%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

St Truiden (4-2-3-1)

Léo Kokubo

Robert-Jan Vanwesemael

Shogo Taniguchi

Visar Musliu

Joedrick Pupe

Abdoulaye Sissako

Nelson Ishiwatari

Nathanaël Mbuku

Shion Shinkawa

Ilias Sebaoui

Samed Baždar

Waregem (4-4-2)

Brent Gabriel

Franz Tangala

Benoit De Jaegere

Jakob Kiilerich

Yannick Cappelle

István Átrok

Thomas Claes

Enrique Lofolomo

Marley Aké

Tobias Hedl

Anosike Ementa

Player Ratings

St Truiden

Nelson IshiwatariM8.2

Ilias SebaouiM7.9

Kaito MatsuzawaF7.9

Waregem

István ÁtrokM7.2

Yannick CappelleD6.9

Enrique LofolomoM6.9

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. St Truiden edge attack and head-to-head, Waregem edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Waregem stronger

HomeAway

Attack

St Truiden stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Closely matched

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

St Truiden stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Waregem have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while St Truiden's home record over the same span includes three defeats alongside a solitary win and a draw. St Truiden have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of that same recent sample. Waregem rate stronger on form, while St Truiden rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. St Truiden won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 15 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Waregem's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, St Truiden's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Waregem's implied win probability has risen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from St Truiden

St Truiden's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Truiden win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

St Truiden win

Latest market chance 52.5%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

53.3% → 52.5%

−0.8 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.7% → 24.1%

+0.4 pts

Waregem win

Latest market chance 23.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

22.9% → 23.4%

+0.5 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

St Truiden

Draw

Waregem

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

St Truiden

Waregem

Season Profile

This season

16th

League Position

12th

Games Played

0.80

Points/Game

1.10

1.80

Goals/Game

1.20

2.10

Conceded/Game

1.60

17.1

Shots/Game

12.5

5.1

Shots on Target

4.2

Home vs Away Context

St Truiden at home (6 matches) vs Waregem away (6 matches)

1.17

Points/Game

0.83

1.67

Goals/Game

0.83

1.50

Conceded/Game

2.00

33%

Win Rate

17%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

St Truiden

Home form

Lost 3 of last 5 at home

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Waregem

Away form

1W 2D 2L in last 5 away

0.8

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

2/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

St Truiden Wins

Draws

Waregem Wins

Avg Goals

2.8

2026-02-152025-2026

St Truiden3 – 2Waregem

2025-08-232025-2026

Waregem0 – 2St Truiden

2022-12-272022-2023

St Truiden2 – 0Waregem

2022-09-172022-2023

Waregem0 – 3St Truiden

2022-04-022021-2022

Waregem0 – 2St Truiden

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

St Truiden

Waregem

Recent Scoring Profile

1.80

Goals scored / game

1.20

2.10

Goals conceded / game

1.60

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

6/10

Both Teams Scored

3/10

Failed to Score

5/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

80.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

59.5%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

38.9%

BTTSBoth teams score

60.1%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.6%−0.3 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

St Truiden vs Waregem Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis