St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
4.23
Away Win
4.89
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
St Truiden
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
I. Sebaoui (I. Sebaoui) •
24'
N. Mbuku (N. Mbuku) •
32'
N. Mbuku (F. Soelle) ⚽
46'
53'
⚽ R. Mirisola (S. Schrijvers)
55'
🟨 J. Lawrence
81'
⚽ D. Opoku (W. George)
K. Matsuzawa 🟨
84'
88'
🟨 D. Opoku
90+3'
🟨 R. Nyakossi
90+5'
🟨 T. Simons
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
26
Total Shots
21
7
Shots on Goal
4
15
Corner Kicks
9
12
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
St Truiden
L. Kokubo
T. Hata
K. Takai
V. Musliu
J. Pupe
N. Ishiwatari
A. Sissako
N. Mbuku
R. Merlen
I. Sebaoui
F. Soelle
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (3-4-3)
D. van den Heuvel
J. Lawrence
E. Pletinckx
R. Nyakossi
D. Opoku
W. George
S. Schrijvers
T. Ogiwara
E. Addai
R. Mirisola
W. Balikwisha
Player Ratings ?
St Truiden
Nathanaël MbukuM8.3
Nelson IshiwatariM7.6
Joedrick PupeD7.2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Dani van den HeuvelG9.9
Davis OpokuM9.0
Robin MirisolaF8.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St Truiden
St Truiden rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving St Truiden a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Truiden slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oud-Heverlee Leuven have struggled on the road with no wins from their last five away matches, while St Truiden sit at home with two victories and one draw in that same span. At home, the hosts have found the net in three of their last five outings but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. St Truiden rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. St Truiden won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 18 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, St Truiden's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives St Truiden a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Oud-Heverlee Leuven losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from St Truiden
St Truiden's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Truiden win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Truiden win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
58.6% → 57.4%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.4% → 22.7%
+0.3 pts
Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Latest market chance 19.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.0% → 19.9%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Truiden
Draw
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St TruidenOud-Heverlee Leuven
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
0.67
1.89
Goals/Game
0.89
2.11
Conceded/Game
1.78
17.1
Shots/Game
15.1
5.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
St Truiden at home (6 matches) vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven away (5 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
0.80
1.67
Goals/Game
0.80
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Truiden
Home form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Away form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Truiden Wins
3
Draws
1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
St Truiden1 – 0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 – 2St Truiden
Oud-Heverlee Leuven3 – 2St Truiden
St Truiden2 – 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
St Truiden1 – 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Truidenvs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 59.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 57.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of St Truiden's 10 matches and 1 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?