St. Gilloise vs Genk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Joseph Marien
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
4.32
Away Win
5.26
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
St. Gilloise
Genk
M. Sylla 🟨
63'
R. Sykes (B. Zeneli) ⚽
76'
89'
🟨 Y. Medina
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
23
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
0
10
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
St. Gilloise (3-4-2-1)
Hervé Koffi
Ross Sykes
Massire Sylla
Nikki Havenaar
Louis Patris
Kamiel Van de Perre
Adem Zorgane
Guilherme Smith
Raul Florucz
Besfort Zeneli
Kevin Rodriguez
Genk (3-4-1-2)
Lucca Brughmans
Matte Smets
Christiaan Ravych
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
Kevin Amaro
Benjamin Tahirović
Bryan Heynen
Joris Kayembe
Daan Heymans
Aaron Bibout
Rafiu Durosinmi
Player Ratings ?
St. Gilloise
Ross SykesD8.2
Adem ZorganeM7.5
Nohim ChibaniD7.3
Genk
Joris KayembeM7.3
Lucca BrughmansG7.2
Matte SmetsD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving St. Gilloise an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St. Gilloise have secured three wins from five at home without a single defeat, while Genk have drawn twice and lost three times in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have kept three clean sheets during that same recent run. St. Gilloise rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. St. Gilloise won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Genk's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours St. Gilloise.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St. Gilloise unbeaten run
5/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Genk yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 58.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.4% → 58.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.7% → 22.7%
±0.0 pts
Genk win
Latest market chance 18.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.0% → 18.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St. Gilloise
Draw
Genk
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St. GilloiseGenk
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
7th
10
Games Played
10
2.60
Points/Game
1.50
2.90
Goals/Game
1.80
0.70
Conceded/Game
1.40
17.7
Shots/Game
15.1
7.1
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
St. Gilloise at home (6 matches) vs Genk away (6 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.33
2.50
Goals/Game
0.83
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.83
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St. Gilloise
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Genk
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St. Gilloise Wins
4
Draws
0
Genk Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
St. Gilloise2 – 1Genk
Genk1 – 2St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise1 – 0Genk
Genk1 – 2St. Gilloise
Genk2 – 1St. Gilloise
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St. Gilloisevs
Genk
Recent Scoring Profile
2.90
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 59.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 57.6%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?