St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Joseph Marien
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.31
Draw
6.01
Away Win
9.00
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
24'
⚽ (P) S. Ngoura
Nohim Chibani 🟨
40'
48'
⚽ (OG) M. Sylla
R. Florucz (D. De Roeve) ⚽
49'
57'
🟨 Valy Konaté
M. Sylla (N. Havenaar) ⚽
62'
64'
🟥 Dante Vanzeir
E. Kakou ⚽ (OG)
74'
76'
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
R. Mofokeng (L. Patris) ⚽
80'
90+2'
🟨 Steve Ngoura
K. Rodriguez (R. Mofokeng) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
23
Total Shots
5
12
Shots on Goal
2
13
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
St. Gilloise (3-1-4-2)
H. Koffi
N. Chibani
M. Sylla
N. Havenaar
K. Van De Perre
L. Patris
B. Zeneli
D. Aquino
Guilherme Smith
R. Florucz
R. Mofokeng
Cercle Brugge (4-2-3-1)
G. Coucke
I. Diakite
E. Kakou
R. Caicedo
V. Konate
L. Le Roux
H. van der Bruggen
T. Akinsola
A. Manneh
D. Vanzeir
S. Ngoura
Player Ratings ?
St. Gilloise
Relebohile MofokengF8.9
Massire SyllaD8.2
Besfort ZeneliM7.5
Cercle Brugge
Gaëtan CouckeG7.2
Royer CaicedoD7.2
Luke Le RouxM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving St. Gilloise a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St. Gilloise have secured three wins from their last five home outings without a defeat, while Cercle Brugge have managed only two draws and three losses across their corresponding away fixtures in that same sample. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets in that identical span. St. Gilloise rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 26 December 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards St. Gilloise.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St. Gilloise unbeaten run
2
Cercle Brugge points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 72.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
71.8% → 72.3%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.8% → 16.9%
+0.1 pts
Cercle Brugge win
Latest market chance 10.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
11.4% → 10.8%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St. Gilloise
Draw
Cercle Brugge
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
17th
8
Games Played
8
2.50
Points/Game
0.38
2.75
Goals/Game
1.12
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
17.7
Shots/Game
12.9
7.1
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
St. Gilloise at home (6 matches) vs Cercle Brugge away (6 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.83
2.50
Goals/Game
1.33
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St. Gilloise
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cercle Brugge
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St. Gilloise Wins
2
Draws
2
Cercle Brugge Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Cercle Brugge1 – 1St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise2 – 0Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge0 – 0St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise1 – 3Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge1 – 2St. Gilloise
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St. Gilloisevs
Cercle Brugge
Recent Scoring Profile
2.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 64.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 53.6%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of St. Gilloise's 10 matches and 2 of Cercle Brugge's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?