Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Den Dreef
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.64
Away Win
3.08
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Mechelen
E. Addai (R. Mirisola) ⚽
50'
53'
🟨 F. Hammar
J. Lawrence 🟨
62'
76'
🟨 M. van Brederode
S. Schrijvers 🟨
80'
R. Mirisola 🟨
86'
W. Balikwisha ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
17
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
16
20
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (3-4-2-1)
Dani van den Heuvel
Jamie Lawrence
Ewoud Pletinckx
Roggerio Nyakossi
Óscar Gil
Wouter George
Siebe Schrijvers
Davis Opoku
Emmanuel Addai
William Balikwisha
Robin Mirisola
Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
Ortwin De Wolf
Kobe Corbanie
Mike Eerdhuijzen
José Marsà
Simion Michez
Fredrik Hammar
Marco Decherf
Thérence Koudou
Myron Van Brederode
Benito Raman
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
Player Ratings ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Ewoud PletinckxD8.2
Siebe SchrijversM7.9
Emmanuel AddaiF7.9
Mechelen
Mike EerdhuijzenD7.3
Kobe CorbanieD7.2
Simion MichezM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mechelen edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mechelen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mechelen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mechelen have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven have managed just a single victory in their corresponding home sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Mechelen rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Oud-Heverlee Leuven losing run
47%
Mechelen yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.2% → 40.8%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.1%
−0.1 pts
Mechelen win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.1%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Draw
Mechelen
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenMechelen

Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
10
0.90
Points/Game
1.20
1.00
Goals/Game
1.30
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.80
15.1
Shots/Game
11.8
3.3
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home (6 matches) vs Mechelen away (7 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.14
1.33
Goals/Game
1.14
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.43
33%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Home form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Mechelen
Away form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Wins
1
Draws
3
Mechelen Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Oud-Heverlee Leuven2 – 2Mechelen
Mechelen1 – 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 – 2Mechelen
Mechelen1 – 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 – 0Mechelen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oud-Heverlee Leuvenvs
Mechelen

Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 53.2%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?