Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Den Dreef
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.89
Away Win
3.80
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Lommel SK
Takuya Ogiwara 🟨
12'
35'
⚽ Stredair Appuah (Don-Angelo Konadu)
40'
🟨 Shawn Adewoye
45+2'
🟨 Stredair Appuah
Robin Mirisola (William Balikwisha) ⚽
65'
Emmanuel Addai (Davis Opoku) ⚽
67'
Robin Mirisola 🟨
71'
90+6'
⚽ Jason van Duiven (Sverre Nypan)
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
22
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
4
7
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (3-4-3)
Dani van den Heuvel
Jamie Lawrence
Ewoud Pletinckx
Roggerio Nyakossi
Davis Opoku
Wouter George
Siebe Schrijvers
Takuya Ogiwara
Łukasz Łakomy
Robin Mirisola
William Balikwisha
Lommel SK (4-2-3-1)
Matthias Pieklak
Jason van Duiven
Timothy Eyoma
Jesper Tolinsson
Shawn Adewoye
Joey Pelupessy
Sverre Nypan
Juho Talvitie
Lucas Schoofs
Stredair Appuah
Don-Angelo Konadu
Player Ratings ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Siebe SchrijversM8.3
Emmanuel AddaiF7.6
Robin MirisolaF7.2
Lommel SK
Jason van DuivenD8.0
Stredair AppuahM8.0
Sverre NypanM7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lommel SK edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lommel SK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lommel SK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Lommel SK have secured two victories in their last four away outings, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. Oud-Heverlee Leuven have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Lommel SK rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.0% → 49.3%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 24.9%
+0.1 pts
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 25.9%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Draw
Lommel SK
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenLommel SK
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
10th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
1.38
0.75
Goals/Game
1.12
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.12
15.1
Shots/Game
11.9
3.3
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home (6 matches) vs Lommel SK away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.50
1.33
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.83
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lommel SK
Away form
D
W
L
W
Won 2 of last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Lommel SK.
1.25
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.75
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
1/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Lommel SK.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oud-Heverlee Leuvenvs
Lommel SK
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.12
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.12
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/8
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/8
4/10
Failed to Score
4/8
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 59.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.5%→Latest 60.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Lommel SK have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?