Mechelen vs Genk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Achter de Kazerne
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.86
Draw
3.87
Away Win
1.92
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Mechelen
Genk
-5'
🟨 Milan Roganović
Marco Decherf 🟨
2'
10'
🟨 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
S. Michez (M. Decherf) ⚽
22'
Kobe Corbanie 🟨
24'
67'
🟨 Kevin Amaro
88'
🟨 Matte Smets
90+5'
🟨 Yaimar Medina
90+4'
🟨 Bryan Heynen
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
6
1
Offsides
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
O. De Wolf
K. Corbanie
L. Marijnissen
J. Marsa
S. Michez
F. Hammar
M. Decherf
T. Koudou
M. van Brederode
B. Raman
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
Genk (4-2-3-1)
L. Brughmans
K. Amaro
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
B. Tahirovic
B. Heynen
J. Ito
J. Erenbjerg
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
R. Durosinmi
Player Ratings ?
Mechelen
Ortwin De WolfG8.9
Simion MichezM8.7
José MarsàD7.9
Genk
Joris KayembeD7.7
Bryan HeynenM7.7
Matte SmetsD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Genk
Genk rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Genk a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genk have drawn three times and suffered two defeats during their last five away fixtures, while Mechelen have recorded just one victory from five home outings in that same period. Mechelen have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those five encounters. Genk rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Genk won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 13 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Mechelen's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Genk a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
62%
Mechelen yellow cards after 75'
3
Genk points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mechelen win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.4%
±0.0 pts
Genk win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.3% → 49.3%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mechelen
Draw
Genk
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MechelenGenk
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
6th
8
Games Played
9
0.75
Points/Game
1.67
1.12
Goals/Game
2.00
2.12
Conceded/Game
1.44
11.8
Shots/Game
15.1
3.5
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Mechelen at home (5 matches) vs Genk away (6 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.33
1.60
Goals/Game
0.83
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.83
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mechelen
Home form
D
D
L
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Genk
Away form
D
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mechelen Wins
1
Draws
1
Genk Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Mechelen2 – 3Genk
Genk0 – 1Mechelen
Mechelen1 – 2Genk
Genk2 – 1Mechelen
Mechelen1 – 1Genk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mechelenvs
Genk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 58.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Mechelen's 10 matches and 1 of Genk's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?