Lommel SK vs Gent Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Soevereinstadion
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.89
Draw
4.11
Away Win
1.71
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Lommel SK
Gent
38'
🟨 Mathias Delorge
J. Talvitie (D. Gordic) ⚽
82'
84'
🟨 Tibe De Vlieger
D. Gordic (L. Schoofs) ⚽
87'
90'
🟨 Tiago Araújo
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Lommel SK (4-2-3-1)
M. Pieklak
J. van Duiven
T. Eyoma
S. Adewoye
T. Gooijer
J. Pelupessy
S. Nypan
T. Reyners
L. Schoofs
S. Appuah
D. Konadu
Gent (3-4-2-1)
D. Roef
M. Volckaert
M. Paskotsi
S. Van Der Heyden
H. Goore
L. Lopes
M. Delorge
T. Araujo
A. Kadri
M. Sonko
M. Dean
Player Ratings ?
Lommel SK
Matthias PieklakG8.2
Shawn AdewoyeD7.9
Juho TalvitieF7.7
Gent
Momodou SonkoF7.9
Matties VolckaertD7.5
Siebe Van der HeydenD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Gent
Gent rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Gent a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Gent have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Lommel SK have recorded just one victory in four home fixtures. Lommel SK have found the net in only one of their last four home matches and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Gent rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 4-day comparison window, Lommel SK's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points, while Gent's implied win probability has risen by 4.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Gent a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Gent
Gent's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gent win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 20.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.2% → 20.4%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.5% → 24.2%
−1.3 pts
Gent win
Latest market chance 55.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.4% → 55.4%
+4.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lommel SK
Draw
Gent
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Lommel SKGent
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
9
1.33
Points/Game
2.78
1.22
Goals/Game
2.11
1.22
Conceded/Game
0.44
11.9
Shots/Game
12.2
3.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Lommel SK at home (6 matches) vs Gent away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.67
1.33
Goals/Game
1.33
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lommel SK
Home form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gent
Away form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lommel SK Wins
1
Draws
0
Gent Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Lommel SK2 – 0Gent
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lommel SKvs
Gent
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.8%→Latest 54.1%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?