Kortrijk vs Mechelen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Guldensporen Stadion
Wed 04 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.04
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Kortrijk
Mechelen
M. Anderson 🟨
20'
23'
🟨 M. Eerdhuijzen
A. Drouhin 🟨
30'
T. Ambrose (M. Fofana) ⚽
53'
56'
🟨 T. Koudou
J. Ndjeungoue 🟥
66'
69'
⚽ M. van Brederode
M. Fofana 🟨
71'
72'
⚽ (OG) M. Fofana
R. Storman 🟨
81'
90+1'
⚽ (OG) B. Lambert
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
11
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Kortrijk (4-3-3)
Marko Ilić
Mohamed Fofana
Axel Drouhin
James Ndjeungoue
Matthew Anderson
Brecht Dejaegere
Harrison Murray-Campbell
Anthony Philips
Shandre Campbell
Goduine Koyalipou
Thierry Ambrose
Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
Ortwin De Wolf
Kobe Corbanie
Mike Eerdhuijzen
José Marsà
Simion Michez
Fredrik Hammar
Marco Decherf
Thérence Koudou
Myron Van Brederode
Benito Raman
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
Player Ratings ?
Kortrijk
Thierry AmbroseF8.5
Marko IlićG8.2
Brecht DejaegereM7.3
Mechelen
Myron Van BrederodeF8.7
Fredrik HammarM7.3
Cedric Jan Van MeirvenneF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mechelen edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mechelen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mechelen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mechelen have struggled on the road in their last five outings with three defeats and two draws, while Kortrijk remain without a victory at home over the same span having lost three times but managed just one win. At this venue, Kortrijk have found the net in three of their last five matches, though they have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical period. Mechelen rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while defence is closely matched. Kortrijk won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 29 November 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Mechelen's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Kortrijk's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points, while Mechelen's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Kortrijk losing run
53%
Mechelen yellow cards after 75'
2
Mechelen points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Mechelen
Mechelen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Mechelen win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Kortrijk remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kortrijk win
Latest market chance 37.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.8% → 37.9%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.8%
+0.6 pts
Mechelen win
Latest market chance 34.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.1% → 34.3%
−0.8 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KortrijkMechelen
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
0.44
Points/Game
1.00
0.33
Goals/Game
1.11
2.11
Conceded/Game
1.89
11.5
Shots/Game
11.8
3.3
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Kortrijk at home (6 matches) vs Mechelen away (7 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.14
0.67
Goals/Game
1.14
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.43
17%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kortrijk
Home form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mechelen
Away form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kortrijk Wins
1
Draws
0
Mechelen Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Kortrijk1 – 3Mechelen
Kortrijk3 – 1Mechelen
Mechelen3 – 0Kortrijk
Mechelen3 – 0Kortrijk
Kortrijk0 – 3Mechelen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kortrijkvs
Mechelen
Recent Scoring Profile
0.40
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 52.1%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 57.1%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?