Gent vs Kortrijk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Planet Group Arena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.64
Away Win
7.42
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Gent
Kortrijk
S. Van Der Heyden 🟨
13'
A. Kadri (T. Araujo) ⚽
32'
80'
🟨 B. Dejaegere
86'
• T. Ambrose (T. Ambrose)
88'
🟨 A. Drouhin
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
22
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
Davy Roef
Matties Volckaert
Maksim Paskotsi
Siebe Van der Heyden
Hyllarion Goore
Tibe De Vlieger
Mathias Delorge
Tiago Araújo
Abdelkahar Kadri
Momodou Sonko
Josué Vergara
Kortrijk (4-3-3)
Marko Ilić
Mohamed Fofana
Axel Drouhin
James Ndjeungoue
Matthew Anderson
Boris Lambert
Harrison Murray-Campbell
Anthony Philips
Shandre Campbell
Goduine Koyalipou
Thierry Ambrose
Player Ratings ?
Gent
Davy RoefG9.7
Mathias DelorgeM8.5
Hyllarion GooreM7.9
Kortrijk
Marko IlićG7.5
Shandre CampbellF7.3
Brecht DejaegereM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Gent
Gent rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Gent a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Gent have secured five victories in their last five home outings, while Kortrijk have managed just a single draw from their last five away matches. The hosts have found the net in every single home match of their last five games and have kept three clean sheets from that same recent run. Gent rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Kortrijk won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 16 March 2025, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Gent's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Gent's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Kortrijk's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards Gent.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Kortrijk losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Gent points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Gent
Gent's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Gent win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gent win
Latest market chance 65.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
67.4% → 65.0%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.5% → 21.5%
+1.0 pts
Kortrijk win
Latest market chance 13.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
12.2% → 13.5%
+1.3 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GentKortrijk
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
18th
10
Games Played
10
2.50
Points/Game
0.40
1.90
Goals/Game
0.40
0.60
Conceded/Game
2.20
12.2
Shots/Game
11.5
5.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Gent at home (6 matches) vs Kortrijk away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.17
2.00
Goals/Game
0.17
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gent
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kortrijk
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gent Wins
4
Draws
0
Kortrijk Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Gent1 – 2Kortrijk
Kortrijk0 – 1Gent
Kortrijk0 – 2Gent
Gent3 – 2Kortrijk
Gent2 – 1Kortrijk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gentvs
Kortrijk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 55.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 49.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?