Gent vs Anderlecht Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Planet Group Arena
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.35
Draw
3.23
Away Win
3.36
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Gent
Anderlecht
A. Kadri (T. Araujo) ⚽
14'
Maksim Paskotsi 🟨
19'
22'
🟨 Léo Pétrot
34'
🟨 Giulian Biancone
Hyllarion Goore 🟨
57'
64'
🟨 Jayden Onia Seke
70'
🟨 Mihajlo Cvetković
I. Cisse (T. Araujo) ⚽
73'
M. Sonko ⚽
77'
M. Volckaert (T. Araujo) ⚽
81'
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
19
7
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
4
4
Offsides
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
D. Roef
M. Paskotsi
C. Burgess
S. Van Der Heyden
H. Goore
T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge
T. Araujo
A. Kadri
M. Sonko
I. Cisse
Anderlecht (4-1-4-1)
C. Coosemans
K. Barry
G. Biancone
L. Petrot
O. Reabciuk
M. Stroeykens
M. Winkler
E. Llansana
T. Aasgaard
T. Degreef
M. Cvetkovic
Player Ratings ?
Gent
Tiago AraújoM9.0
Davy RoefG8.3
Mathias DelorgeM8.2
Anderlecht
Giulian BianconeD7.7
Thelo AasgaardM7.2
Mario StroeykensM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gent edge recent form and defence, Anderlecht edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gent slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Gent stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Anderlecht have recorded two victories from their last five away outings, Gent remain unbeaten in their corresponding home sample with four wins and a single draw. Gent have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures but have managed just two clean sheets during that same period. Gent rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Anderlecht rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Gent's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points, while Anderlecht's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Gent unbeaten run
13
Gent points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Gent
Gent's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gent win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gent win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.4% → 40.7%
+3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
31.2% → 30.4%
−0.8 pts
Anderlecht win
Latest market chance 28.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.4% → 28.9%
−2.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gent
Draw
Anderlecht
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GentAnderlecht
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
5th
8
Games Played
8
2.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.88
Goals/Game
1.12
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.75
12.2
Shots/Game
15.9
5.1
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Gent at home (6 matches) vs Anderlecht away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.17
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gent
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Anderlecht
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gent Wins
1
Draws
1
Anderlecht Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Gent1 – 1Anderlecht
Anderlecht3 – 1Gent
Gent4 – 2Anderlecht
Anderlecht1 – 0Gent
Gent0 – 1Anderlecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gentvs
Anderlecht
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.7%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.4%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Gent's 10 matches and 2 of Anderlecht's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?