Genk vs Standard Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Cegeka Arena
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.78
Draw
3.77
Away Win
4.82
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Genk
Standard
2'
🟨 I. Karamoko
J. Ito ⚽
27'
33'
🟥 M. Epolo
B. Heynen 🟨
58'
62'
🟨 A. Trouillet
65'
⚽ A. Zeqiri (I. Hautekiet)
A. Bibout ⚽
77'
D. Heymans 🟥
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
68%
Ball Possession
32%
24
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
2
11
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Genk (4-2-3-1)
L. Brughmans
K. Amaro
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
B. Tahirovic
B. Heynen
J. Ito
D. Heymans
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
R. Durosinmi
Standard (3-4-3)
M. Epolo
I. Karamoko
I. Hautekiet
D. Lavalee
M. Fossey
R. Fosso
A. Trouillet
T. Mohr
S. Drammeh
D. Eckert
A. Abid
Player Ratings ?
Genk
Junya ItoM8.5
Joris KayembeD8.2
Matte SmetsD7.3
Standard
Ibe HautekietD8.2
Marlon FosseyM7.5
Lucas PirardG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Genk edge recent form, attack and defence, Standard edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Standard stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Standard have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Genk remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws in that same span. At home, Genk have found the net in four of their last five matches yet have kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Genk rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Standard rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genk win
Latest market chance 54.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.7% → 54.0%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 24.6%
−0.2 pts
Standard win
Latest market chance 21.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.5% → 21.4%
−0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genk
Draw
Standard
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Genk
Standard
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
1.38
2.00
Goals/Game
1.62
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.62
15.1
Shots/Game
14.5
4.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Genk at home (5 matches) vs Standard away (5 matches)
2.60
Points/Game
0.80
2.60
Goals/Game
1.80
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.40
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genk
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Standard
Away form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genk Wins
1
Draws
2
Standard Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-05-162025-2026
Standard0 – 0Genk
2026-04-252025-2026
Genk1 – 1Standard
2026-02-222025-2026
Genk0 – 3Standard
2025-08-102025-2026
Standard2 – 1Genk
2025-02-142024-2025
Standard1 – 2Genk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genk
vs
Standard
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.3%→Latest 59.1%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 59.9%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Genk's 10 matches and 2 of Standard's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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