Beveren vs Lommel SK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Freethiel Stadion
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
4.03
Away Win
4.15
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Beveren
Lommel SK
24'
⚽ D. Konadu (N. Rommens)
39'
🟨 S. Adewoye
C. Lokesa (C. Bruls) ⚽
41'
C. Conde 🟨
45+2'
48'
⚽ D. Konadu (J. Talvitie)
56'
⚽ L. Schoofs (N. Rommens)
S. Dewaele 🟨
67'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
9
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
7
12
Corner Kicks
6
6
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Beveren (4-2-3-1)
Johannes Schenk
Cheick Oumar Konaté
Yoni Gomis
Bruno Godeau
Christophe Janssens
Sieben Dewaele
Cheick Oumar Condé
Chris Lokesa
Christian Brüls
Jearl Margaritha
Moise Kaboré
Lommel SK (4-2-3-1)
Matthias Pieklak
Jason van Duiven
Timothy Eyoma
Nicolas Rommens
Shawn Adewoye
Lucas Schoofs
Isaiah Dada-Mascoll
Juho Talvitie
Tom Reyners
Stredair Appuah
Don-Angelo Konadu
Player Ratings ?
Beveren
Yoni GomisD7.5
Christophe JanssensD7.3
Chris LokesaM7.3
Lommel SK
Don-Angelo KonaduF8.3
Lucas SchoofsM7.9
Juho TalvitieM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Beveren edge attack, Lommel SK edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lommel SK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Beveren stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Beveren have recorded three wins from their last five home matches, while Lommel SK have managed just one win alongside a draw and a loss in their most recent three away outings. At home, Beveren have scored in four of their last five matches yet have also kept four clean sheets during the same period. Lommel SK hold a slight advantage in form, while Beveren rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. Over the 6-day comparison window, Beveren's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Lommel SK's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Beveren
Beveren's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Beveren win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Beveren win
Latest market chance 53.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
52.0% → 53.4%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 23.3%
−1.2 pts
Lommel SK win
Latest market chance 23.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.3%
−0.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Oct 3Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Beveren
Draw
Lommel SK
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Beveren
Lommel SK
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
1.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.14
10.8
Shots/Game
11.9
3.6
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Beveren at home (5 matches) vs Lommel SK away (6 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.50
1.60
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
60%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Beveren
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Lommel SK
Away form
D
W
L
Won 1 of last 3 away
Limited history — only 3 away fixtures on record for Lommel SK.
0.67
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/3
Scored in
last 3
1/3
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Beveren and Lommel SK.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beveren
vs
Lommel SK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.86
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.14
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/7
3/10
Both Teams Scored
1/7
4/10
Failed to Score
4/7
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 60.0%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 3Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 60.7%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 3Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Lommel SK have only 7 completed fixtures on record.
3 of Beveren's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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