Antwerp vs Charleroi Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bosuilstadion
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.15
Draw
4.16
Away Win
1.78
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Antwerp
Charleroi
T. Somers (S. Renders) ⚽
8'
11'
🟨 Aiham Ousou
S. Porozo ⚽ (P)
27'
Carlos Mejia 🟨
30'
R. Van Helden (I. Salah) ⚽
47'
80'
🟨 Mardochee Nzita
85'
🟨 Gaku Nawata
Christopher Scott 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
7
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
5
17
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
4
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Antwerp (4-2-3-1)
T. Nozawa
S. Renders
R. Van Helden
A. Cortes
D. Foulon
B. Deuff
A. Vermeeren
C. Mejia
T. Somers
I. Salah
S. Porozo
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
M. Kone
K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
C. Keita
M. Nzita
A. Boukamir
Y. Khalifi
P. Pflucke
J. Romsaas
F. Mbemba
A. Scheidler
Player Ratings ?
Antwerp
Taishi Brandon NozawaG9.5
Rein Van HeldenD9.2
Ibrahim SalahM7.7
Charleroi
Patrick PflückeM7.6
Yassine KhalifiM7.3
Jakob Napoleon RomsaasM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Charleroi
Charleroi rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Charleroi a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charleroi slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charleroi arrive with an impressive run of five straight away victories, while Antwerp have picked up just two wins from their last five home outings. Antwerp have scored in four of their previous five matches at home but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Charleroi rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Charleroi won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 10 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Antwerp's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Charleroi a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Charleroi unbeaten run
56%
Charleroi yellow cards after 75'
15
Charleroi points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Antwerp win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.0% → 23.8%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 24.0%
+0.1 pts
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 52.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.1% → 52.1%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AntwerpCharleroi
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
0.88
Points/Game
2.63
1.50
Goals/Game
2.00
2.50
Conceded/Game
0.88
15.1
Shots/Game
17.5
4.9
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Antwerp at home (6 matches) vs Charleroi away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.83
2.17
Conceded/Game
0.83
33%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Antwerp
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charleroi
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Antwerp Wins
0
Draws
1
Charleroi Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Antwerp0 – 1Charleroi
Charleroi2 – 1Antwerp
Antwerp0 – 2Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 1Antwerp
Antwerp1 – 3Charleroi
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Antwerpvs
Charleroi
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Antwerp's 10 matches and 2 of Charleroi's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?