Anderlecht vs Westerlo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Lotto Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
4.57
Away Win
5.12
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Anderlecht
Westerlo
M. Cvetkovic ⚽
40'
M. Stroeykens (M. Cvetkovic) ⚽
43'
T. Aasgaard ⚽
45'
Mario Stroeykens 🟨
53'
L. Ambros ⚽
60'
65'
🟨 Lasse Flø
81'
⚽ N. Storm (C. Sandra)
Andrew Omobamidele 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
22
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Anderlecht (4-3-3)
C. Coosemans
A. Maamar
G. Biancone
L. Petrot
L. Augustinsson
I. Koutsoupias
M. Stroeykens
T. Aasgaard
L. Ambros
M. Cvetkovic
J. Onia Seke
Westerlo (4-2-3-1)
A. Jungdal
L. Flo
S. Kimura
A. Lapage
F. Ferraro
I. Fofana
C. Sandra
C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto
S. Saito
N. Bassette
Player Ratings ?
Anderlecht
Mario StroeykensM8.3
Lukáš AmbrosF7.9
Jayden Onia SekeF7.9
Westerlo
Amando LapageD8.3
Nikola StormF7.3
Norman BassetteF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Anderlecht edge defence, Westerlo edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Westerlo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Westerlo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Anderlecht have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run in their last five home outings, securing four victories and a single draw, while Westerlo have struggled on the road with two wins from their last five away fixtures. At home, Anderlecht have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same five-game spell. Westerlo rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Anderlecht rate stronger on defence, while form is closely matched. Westerlo won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 7 December 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Anderlecht's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Westerlo unbeaten run
13
Anderlecht points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Anderlecht win
Latest market chance 60.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.4% → 60.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 21.0%
+0.3 pts
Westerlo win
Latest market chance 18.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.9% → 18.7%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Anderlecht
Draw
Westerlo
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Anderlecht
Westerlo
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.56
1.00
Goals/Game
2.67
1.11
Conceded/Game
2.33
15.9
Shots/Game
14.4
5.0
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Anderlecht at home (5 matches) vs Westerlo away (5 matches)
2.60
Points/Game
1.20
2.00
Goals/Game
1.80
0.40
Conceded/Game
2.20
80%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Anderlecht
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Westerlo
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Anderlecht Wins
2
Draws
1
Westerlo Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
2025-12-072025-2026
Westerlo4 – 0Anderlecht
2025-07-272025-2026
Anderlecht5 – 2Westerlo
2025-03-092024-2025
Westerlo2 – 0Anderlecht
2024-09-142024-2025
Anderlecht2 – 2Westerlo
2023-12-012023-2024
Westerlo1 – 3Anderlecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Anderlecht
vs
Westerlo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
84.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
66.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
45.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Anderlecht's 10 matches and 1 of Westerlo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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