Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MAC³PARK Stadion
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.66
Draw
3.71
Away Win
1.96
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
22'
⚽ Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Sydney van Hooijdonk (Dylan Mbayo) ⚽
47'
Thijs Oosting ⚽
58'
Thijs Oosting (Damian van der Haar) ⚽
70'
Koen Kostons (Ibrahim Cissoko) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
19
Total Shots
18
9
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
S. Floranus
R. Thomas
T. Sommer
Gilles van der Wal
T. Oosting
D. Mbayo
S. van Hooijdonk
Go Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
K. Haug
A. Sampsted
G. van Zwam
J. Kramer
D. James
M. Meulensteen
E. Linthorst
V. Edvardsen
S. Tengstedt
M. Suray
S. Sigurðarson
Player Ratings ?
Zwolle
T. OostingM9.3
S. van HooijdonkF7.5
K. KostonsF7.3
Go Ahead Eagles
S. SigurðarsonF7.9
S. TengstedtM6.9
T. BaetenF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Go Ahead Eagles an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Go Ahead Eagles have drawn four of their last five away matches, while Zwolle remain winless in their last five home fixtures. Zwolle have scored in only one of their last five home games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Both sides each carry two players unavailable for selection ahead of this Eredivisie encounter. Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Go Ahead Eagles won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 5 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Zwolle's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Zwolle's implied win probability has fallen by 7.6 percentage points, while Go Ahead Eagles's implied win probability has risen by 7.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Go Ahead Eagles.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
58%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
0
Zwolle points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Go Ahead Eagles win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
34.1% → 26.5%
−7.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.8%
−0.1 pts
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 48.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.0% → 48.7%
+7.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Zwolle
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
0.50
Points/Game
1.38
0.75
Goals/Game
2.38
2.62
Conceded/Game
2.12
12.9
Shots/Game
14.4
4.2
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Zwolle at home (6 matches) vs Go Ahead Eagles away (8 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.88
1.00
Goals/Game
1.62
2.33
Conceded/Game
2.75
33%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Zwolle
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Go Ahead Eagles
Away form
D
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Zwolle Wins
0
Draws
3
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Go Ahead Eagles5 – 0Zwolle
Zwolle0 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle1 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles2 – 2Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 1Zwolle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Zwollevs
Go Ahead Eagles
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
2.30
2.60
Goals conceded / game
2.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.5%→Latest 65.1%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.3%→Latest 66.2%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Zwolle's 10 matches and 1 of Go Ahead Eagles's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?