Zwolle vs Den Haag Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MAC³PARK Stadion
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.30
Draw
3.83
Away Win
2.99
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Zwolle
Den Haag
Dylan Mbayo (Younes Namli) ⚽
45'
48'
🟨 Yannick Fereira Eduardo
52'
🟨 Pascal Mulder
Olivier Aertssen 🟨
65'
72'
🟨 Matteo Waem
Gilles Van Der Wal 🟨
79'
Ibrahim Cissoko 🟨
81'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
24
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
2
15
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Zwolle (4-3-3)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
D. van der Haar
R. Thomas
Gilles van der Wal
T. Sommer
Y. Namli
S. van Hooijdonk
D. Mbayo
Den Haag (4-3-3)
K. Nikiéma
J. Jensen-Abbew
P. Mulder
M. Waem
M. Hokke
J. Kilo
E. Rottier
M. Šín
J. Hawkins
Y. Eduardo
N. Thomas
Player Ratings ?
Zwolle
D. MbayoF7.7
Y. NamliF7.7
T. SommerM7.2
Den Haag
K. NikiémaG7.9
J. KiloM7.2
M. HokkeD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Zwolle edge recent form, Den Haag edge head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Den Haag slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Den Haag have struggled away from home with no wins in their last five outings, while Zwolle's home record over the same span has seen just a solitary victory. Zwolle have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have not kept a clean sheet during that period. Both sides face similar availability concerns, with Zwolle having two players out and Den Haag also carrying two unavailable players ahead of kickoff. Zwolle rate stronger on form, while Den Haag hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 11-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Zwolle losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
64%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 11 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.5% → 41.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.8%
+0.1 pts
Den Haag win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Zwolle
Draw
Den Haag
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ZwolleDen Haag
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
17th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
0.60
1.10
Goals/Game
1.30
2.30
Conceded/Game
2.30
12.9
Shots/Game
12.3
4.2
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Zwolle at home (6 matches) vs Den Haag away (6 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
0.83
2.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Zwolle
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Den Haag
Away form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Zwolle Wins
2
Draws
0
Den Haag Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Zwolle0 – 1Den Haag
Den Haag0 – 2Zwolle
Zwolle3 – 1Den Haag
Den Haag1 – 0Zwolle
Zwolle2 – 3Den Haag
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Zwollevs
Den Haag
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.30
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 58.7%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.7%→Latest 62.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?