Zwolle vs Cambuur Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MAC³PARK Stadion
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.90
Away Win
3.30
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Zwolle
Cambuur
Sherel Floranus 🟨
39'
39'
🟨 Devid Eugene Bouah
Ibrahim Cissoko 🟨
52'
56'
🟨 Jason Ceka
73'
🟨 Morgan Costarelli
83'
⚽ Nicolas Binder
Gabriel Reiziger 🟨
86'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
S. Floranus
R. Thomas
T. Sommer
D. Mbayo
T. Oosting
I. Cissoko
K. Kostons
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
T. Jansen
D. Bouah
I. Baouf
B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli
Ethan Apkakou
N. Souren
F. Kvam
R. El Arguioui
I. Hamache
M. Maertens
Player Ratings ?
Zwolle
I. CissokoM7.1
T. OostingM6.9
O. AertssenD6.8
Cambuur
N. BinderF7.7
T. JansenG7.7
I. BaoufD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cambuur edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cambuur slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cambuur stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cambuur stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cambuur slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cambuur arrive at this Eredivisie fixture with a poor away record of two draws and three losses from their last five outings, while Zwolle have managed just one win in four defeats across their home sample over the same span. The hosts have scored in only two of their last five matches at home and have kept just one clean sheet during that identical period. Both squads carry significant injury concerns, with Zwolle having two players out and two in doubt, while Cambuur face two confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. Cambuur rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head. Zwolle won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 12 February 2022, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cambuur's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Zwolle's implied win probability has fallen by 6.2 percentage points, while Cambuur's implied win probability has risen by 4.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Cambuur losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
67%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Zwolle
Zwolle's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Zwolle win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 46.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
52.6% → 46.4%
−6.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.3% → 25.3%
+2.0 pts
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.1% → 28.4%
+4.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Zwolle
Draw
Cambuur
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ZwolleCambuur
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
14th
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
0.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.43
2.86
Conceded/Game
2.71
12.9
Shots/Game
12.6
4.2
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Zwolle at home (6 matches) vs Cambuur away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.60
1.00
Goals/Game
2.20
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.40
33%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Zwolle
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cambuur
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Zwolle Wins
2
Draws
1
Cambuur Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.4
Cambuur3 – 4Zwolle
Zwolle1 – 2Cambuur
Cambuur1 – 0Zwolle
Zwolle2 – 2Cambuur
Zwolle6 – 1Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Zwollevs
Cambuur
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.50
Goals conceded / game
2.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.1%→Latest 63.2%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.4%→Latest 64.6%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Zwolle's 10 matches and 3 of Cambuur's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?