Willem II vs Zwolle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Koning Willem II Stadion
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.92
Draw
3.93
Away Win
2.27
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Willem II
Zwolle
2'
⚽ Sydney van Hooijdonk
Hidde ter Avest ⚽
3'
Vito van Crooy 🟨
69'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
13
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Willem II (4-2-3-1)
M. Delanghe
H. ter Avest
F. Stam
M. Dekker
N. Tjoe-A-On
Anass Zarrouk
C. Twigt
T. Vilhena
Uriel van Aalst
V. van Crooij
D. Haen
Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
T. Velthuis
N. Viergever
D. van der Haar
R. Thomas
T. Sommer
Gilles van der Wal
Y. Namli
D. Mbayo
S. van Hooijdonk
Player Ratings ?
Willem II
H. ter AvestD7.5
N. Tjoe-A-OnD7.4
T. VilhenaM7.1
Zwolle
S. van HooijdonkF8.2
J. SchendelaarG7.3
D. MbayoM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Zwolle
Zwolle rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Zwolle a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Zwolle have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Willem II have suffered four defeats in their last five home matches. Willem II have scored in three of their last five home outings but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Both squads carry injury concerns ahead of the match, with Willem II facing two absences and Zwolle dealing with three missing players. Zwolle rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Zwolle won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 May 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Willem II's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Willem II's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points, while Zwolle's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Zwolle a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Zwolle losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
65%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Zwolle
Zwolle's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Zwolle win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Willem II win
Latest market chance 33.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.8% → 33.0%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.7% → 25.6%
+0.9 pts
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 41.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
44.5% → 41.4%
−3.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Willem II
Draw
Zwolle
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Willem IIZwolle
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
14th
11
Games Played
11
0.18
Points/Game
1.00
0.91
Goals/Game
1.09
3.55
Conceded/Game
2.09
11.1
Shots/Game
12.9
2.8
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Willem II at home (6 matches) vs Zwolle away (6 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
0.83
Goals/Game
1.17
2.83
Conceded/Game
1.67
0%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Willem II
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Zwolle
Away form
L
W
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Willem II Wins
2
Draws
0
Zwolle Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Willem II1 – 2Zwolle
Zwolle0 – 1Willem II
Zwolle2 – 0Willem II
Willem II1 – 0Zwolle
Willem II1 – 3Zwolle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Willem IIvs
Zwolle
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
3.50
Goals conceded / game
2.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.1%→Latest 60.3%−3.8 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.4%→Latest 63.2%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?