Willem II vs Cambuur Head to Head | Eredivisie

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 6

Match Events

Willem II

Cambuur

⚽ Nicolas Binder (Morgan Costarelli)

13'

⚽ Ilyes Hamache (Morgan Costarelli)

18'

⚽ Ismaël Baouf (Rafik El Arguioui)

Jaden Slory 🟨

45+2'

Hidde ter Avest 🟨

53'

58'

⚽ Nicolas Binder (Ilyes Hamache)

62'

⚽ Rafik El Arguioui

Anass Zarrouk (Devin Haen) ⚽

82'

89'

⚽ Jason Ceka (Wiebe Kooistra)

Match Statistics

52%

Ball Possession

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Willem II (4-2-3-1)

T. Didillon

H. ter Avest

F. Stam

M. Dekker

N. Tjoe-A-On

C. Twigt

T. Vilhena

J. Slory

Uriel van Aalst

V. van Crooij

D. Haen

Cambuur (4-2-3-1)

T. Jansen

R. Mulders

I. Baouf

B. van Duijl

M. Costarelli

M. Maertens

N. Souren

J. Çeka

R. El Arguioui

I. Hamache

N. Binder

Player Ratings

Willem II

Uriel van AalstM6.9

T. DidillonG6.8

A. CulumF6.7

Cambuur

N. BinderF9.0

R. El ArguiouiM8.8

I. HamacheM8.5

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Cambuur

Cambuur rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Cambuur an edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Cambuur stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Cambuur stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Cambuur stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Cambuur slightly stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Cambuur have secured just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Willem II remain winless in four of their five home matches during this period. Willem II have found the net in three of their last five home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same fixtures. Both squads carry injury concerns, with Willem II having five players out and Cambuur missing three from their available list for the upcoming clash. Cambuur rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2022, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Willem II's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Cambuur's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Cambuur.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Cambuur losing run

Willem II points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Cambuur

Cambuur's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Cambuur win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Willem II win

Latest market chance 37.2%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

38.9% → 37.2%

−1.7 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 25.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

25.8% → 25.4%

−0.4 pts

Cambuur win

Latest market chance 37.4%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

35.2% → 37.4%

+2.2 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

13 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Willem II

Draw

Cambuur

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Willem II

Cambuur

Season Profile

This season

18th

League Position

14th

Games Played

0.22

Points/Game

1.00

Goals/Game

1.44

2.89

Conceded/Game

2.33

11.1

Shots/Game

12.6

2.8

Shots on Target

5.0

Home vs Away Context

Willem II at home (6 matches) vs Cambuur away (5 matches)

0.33

Points/Game

1.60

0.83

Goals/Game

2.20

2.83

Conceded/Game

1.40

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Willem II

Home form

Winless in last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

0.8

Goals scored
per match

2.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Cambuur

Away form

1W 2D 2L in last 5 away

1 of these match from last season.

1.2

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Willem II Wins

Draws

Cambuur Wins

Avg Goals

2.8

2022-05-112021-2022

Cambuur1 – 1Willem II

2021-12-102021-2022

Willem II1 – 3Cambuur

2016-04-212015-2016

Cambuur1 – 1Willem II

2015-12-062015-2016

Willem II3 – 0Cambuur

2015-05-172014-2015

Cambuur1 – 2Willem II

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Willem II

Cambuur

Recent Scoring Profile

1.00

Goals scored / game

1.70

2.70

Goals conceded / game

2.10

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

2/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.4%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

62.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

42.7%

BTTSBoth teams score

65.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 59.3%→Latest 62.6%+3.3 pts

Strong move towards 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 62.2%→Latest 65.2%+3.0 pts

Strong move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

1 of Willem II's 10 matches and 1 of Cambuur's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Willem II vs Cambuur Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis