Utrecht vs Zwolle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadion Galgenwaard
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
4.44
Away Win
4.93
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Utrecht
Zwolle
Oualid Agougil 🟨
26'
72'
⚽ Elias Sörensen (Thijs Oosting)
76'
🟨 Gilles Van Der Wal
87'
🟨 Tobias Sommer
Joris van Overeem 🟨
89'
S. van Duijn ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
23
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Utrecht (4-2-3-1)
S. Padt
S. Horemans
M. Didden
N. Panagiotou
A. Zagré
J. van Overeem
O. Agougil
N. Vesterlund
Y. Cathline
Ángel Alarcón
D. de Wit
Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
D. van der Haar
R. Thomas
T. Sommer
Gilles van der Wal
T. Oosting
D. Mbayo
S. van Hooijdonk
Player Ratings ?
Utrecht
S. van DuijnF8.2
A. BlakeF7.2
M. DiddenD7.0
Zwolle
E. SørensenF7.5
T. OostingM7.0
S. GravesD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Utrecht
Utrecht rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Utrecht a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Utrecht have found a more consistent rhythm at home with one win and two draws from their last five outings, while Zwolle struggle away with just one victory in that same span. The hosts have scored in every single match at this venue over the past five games but have managed zero clean sheets during that period. Six players are unavailable for Utrecht, whereas Zwolle face two confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful ahead of kickoff. Utrecht rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Utrecht a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Zwolle losing run
58%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Utrecht win
Latest market chance 57.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.0% → 57.6%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.6% → 22.5%
−0.1 pts
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 19.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.4% → 19.9%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Utrecht
Draw
Zwolle
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
UtrechtZwolle
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
15th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
0.78
1.78
Goals/Game
1.11
2.89
Conceded/Game
2.44
14.1
Shots/Game
12.9
4.5
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Utrecht at home (7 matches) vs Zwolle away (6 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.17
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
14%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Utrecht
Home form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Zwolle
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Utrecht Wins
3
Draws
2
Zwolle Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
Utrecht1 – 1Zwolle
Zwolle0 – 2Utrecht
Zwolle3 – 3Utrecht
Utrecht1 – 0Zwolle
Utrecht5 – 1Zwolle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Utrechtvs
Zwolle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.90
Goals conceded / game
2.40
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 64.2%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 62.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Zwolle's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?