Twente vs Willem II Head to Head, Prediction
De Grolsch Veste
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.03
Draw
19.50
Away Win
46.00
Match Prediction
Data favours
Twente
Twente rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Twente a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Twente stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Twente win
Latest market chance 90.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
90.1% → 90.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 7.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.0% → 7.0%
±0.0 pts
Willem II win
Latest market chance 2.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
2.9% → 2.9%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Twente
Draw
Willem II
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TwenteWillem II
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
18th
12
Games Played
12
2.00
Points/Game
0.25
2.50
Goals/Game
0.92
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.33
21.2
Shots/Game
11.1
7.4
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Twente at home (6 matches) vs Willem II away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.17
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
3.83
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Twente
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Willem II
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Twente Wins
3
Draws
2
Willem II Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Twente6 – 2Willem II
Willem II0 – 1Twente
Willem II0 – 1Twente
Twente1 – 1Willem II
Twente1 – 1Willem II
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Twentevs
Willem II
Recent Scoring Profile
2.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
3.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 80.8%→Latest 80.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.9%→Latest 44.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?