Twente vs Utrecht Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
De Grolsch Veste
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.36
Draw
5.75
Away Win
7.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Twente
Utrecht
Daouda Weidmann (Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard) ⚽
28'
47'
⚽ Ángel Alarcón (Arthur Zagre)
57'
🟨 Siebe Horemans
63'
⚽ Ángel Alarcón (Arthur Zagre)
70'
🟨 Davy Van Den Berg
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
24
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Twente (4-2-3-1)
J. Drommel
B. van Rooij
R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann
D. Rots
K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
W. Weghorst
Utrecht (3-4-3)
S. Padt
S. Horemans
M. Didden
N. Panagiotou
N. Vesterlund
J. van Overeem
O. Agougil
A. Zagré
Y. Cathline
D. de Wit
Ángel Alarcón
Player Ratings ?
Twente
D. WeidmannM8.2
R. ZerroukiM7.1
B. van RooijD7.0
Utrecht
Ángel AlarcónF8.9
S. PadtG7.8
A. ZagréM7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Twente edge recent form, attack and defence, Utrecht edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Twente have been perfect at home with five straight victories, while Utrecht have found away form difficult to crack recently with just one win from their last five outings. Twente have scored in each of their home matches and also kept three clean sheets during that same span. There are some concerns for Twente with three players out, while Utrecht face a heavier blow with five unavailable and one doubtful ahead of this fixture. Twente rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Utrecht rate stronger on head-to-head. Utrecht won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Twente's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Twente's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Utrecht's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Twente
Twente's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Twente win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Twente win
Latest market chance 69.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
71.5% → 69.7%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
16.7% → 17.7%
+1.0 pts
Utrecht win
Latest market chance 12.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
11.8% → 12.6%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Twente
Draw
Utrecht
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TwenteUtrecht
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
14th
8
Games Played
8
2.13
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.75
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.12
21.2
Shots/Game
14.1
7.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Twente at home (6 matches) vs Utrecht away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
1.17
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.67
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Twente
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Utrecht
Away form
D
L
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Twente Wins
1
Draws
1
Utrecht Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Twente0 – 2Utrecht
Utrecht1 – 1Twente
Twente2 – 0Utrecht
Utrecht2 – 1Twente
Twente0 – 1Utrecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Twentevs
Utrecht
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.6%→Latest 69.0%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 60.3%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Twente's 10 matches and 1 of Utrecht's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?