Telstar vs Utrecht Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sportpark Schoonenberg
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.96
Draw
3.75
Away Win
2.35
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Telstar
Utrecht
Tyrone Owusu ⚽
8'
Abdelnour Soualhia (Ar'jany Martha) ⚽
25'
42'
⚽ Ángel Alarcón (Marius Broholm)
Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson (Tyrone Owusu) ⚽
44'
46'
⚽ Yoann Cathline (Joris van Overeem)
Ar'jany Martha (Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson) ⚽
59'
71'
🟨 Dani De Wit
73'
🟨 Per Kloosterboer
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
16
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
9
10
Fouls
20
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Telstar (4-2-3-1)
R. Koeman
G. Caschili
S. Valk
A. Soualhia
M. Peersman
Isaiah Ahmed
N. Rossen
A. Martha
T. Owusu
E. Demircan
N. Þórisson
Utrecht (4-2-3-1)
S. Padt
S. Horemans
M. Didden
N. Panagiotou
A. Zagré
J. van Overeem
O. Agougil
N. Vesterlund
M. Broholm
Y. Cathline
D. de Wit
Player Ratings ?
Telstar
T. OwusuM8.9
N. ÞórissonF8.9
A. MarthaM7.8
Utrecht
M. BroholmM7.5
Ángel AlarcónF7.4
Y. CathlineM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Utrecht edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Utrecht slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Utrecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Utrecht have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Telstar remain winless at home in that same span with just two draws to show for three defeats. Telstar have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Utrecht face availability concerns with five players out and one listed as doubtful ahead of the fixture. Utrecht rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Utrecht won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 11 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Telstar's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Telstar's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Utrecht's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Telstar
Telstar's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Telstar win as less likely than it did 11 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Utrecht remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Telstar win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
34.7% → 33.9%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 25.0%
+0.1 pts
Utrecht win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
40.4% → 41.2%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Telstar
Draw
Utrecht
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TelstarUtrecht
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
11th
10
Games Played
10
0.60
Points/Game
1.20
1.20
Goals/Game
1.70
2.10
Conceded/Game
2.70
12.5
Shots/Game
14.1
3.8
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Telstar at home (6 matches) vs Utrecht away (6 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.17
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
2.83
Conceded/Game
2.67
17%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Telstar
Home form
L
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Utrecht
Away form
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Telstar Wins
0
Draws
1
Utrecht Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.5
Utrecht4 – 1Telstar
Telstar1 – 1Utrecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Telstarvs
Utrecht
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 62.7%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.0%→Latest 65.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?