PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Philips Stadion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.07
Draw
15.22
Away Win
21.29
Match Report
Full Time
7 – 0
Match Events ?
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Mauro Júnior ⚽
20'
41'
🟨 Maxim Dekker
Guus Til (Armando Obispo) ⚽
44'
Sven Mijnans (Sergiño Dest) ⚽
50'
Ruben van Bommel (Sven Mijnans) ⚽
53'
Ricardo Pepi (Esmir Bajraktarević) ⚽
73'
75'
🟨 Finn Stam
Kodai Sano (Ricardo Pepi) ⚽
77'
Shuryjano Cornecion ⚽
81'
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
20
Total Shots
4
9
Shots on Goal
1
11
Corner Kicks
1
7
Fouls
4
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
PSV Eindhoven (3-4-2-1)
M. Kovář
L. Geertruida
A. Obispo
Yarek Gasiorowski
S. Dest
K. Sano
Mauro Júnior
G. Til
R. van Bommel
I. Perišić
S. Mijnans
Willem II (4-4-1-1)
M. Delanghe
F. Stam
M. Lemmens
M. Dekker
N. Tjoe-A-On
H. ter Avest
C. Twigt
Anass Zarrouk
V. van Crooij
Uriel van Aalst
D. Haen
Player Ratings ?
PSV Eindhoven
S. MijnansM9.0
Mauro JúniorM8.2
K. SanoM8.2
Willem II
D. HaenF6.4
C. TwigtM6.3
K. BoogaardM6.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving PSV Eindhoven a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PSV Eindhoven boast a perfect record in their last five home outings with four wins and no defeats, while Willem II have struggled away from home, recording just one draw from their last five matches. At the ground, PSV Eindhoven have found the net in every one of their last five home fixtures but have kept just two clean sheets during that same period. PSV Eindhoven will be without four players and face two doubts, whereas Willem II have two confirmed absences with no doubtful cases to report. PSV Eindhoven rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards PSV Eindhoven.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
PSV Eindhoven unbeaten run
1
Willem II points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PSV Eindhoven win
Latest market chance 88.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
89.1% → 88.7%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 7.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.2% → 7.3%
+0.1 pts
Willem II win
Latest market chance 4.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
3.7% → 4.1%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Willem II
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PSV EindhovenWillem II
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
18th
10
Games Played
10
2.00
Points/Game
0.20
2.80
Goals/Game
1.00
1.30
Conceded/Game
3.20
19.3
Shots/Game
11.1
7.2
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
PSV Eindhoven at home (7 matches) vs Willem II away (6 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
0.17
3.29
Goals/Game
1.00
0.71
Conceded/Game
3.83
71%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Willem II
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PSV Eindhoven Wins
3
Draws
1
Willem II Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
PSV Eindhoven1 – 1Willem II
Willem II0 – 2PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven4 – 2Willem II
Willem II2 – 1PSV Eindhoven
Willem II0 – 2PSV Eindhoven
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PSV Eindhovenvs
Willem II
Recent Scoring Profile
2.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
3.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 83.0%→Latest 84.5%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 55.7%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?