PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Philips Stadion
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
4.17
Away Win
3.16
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
18'
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
Guus Til (Lutsharel Geertruida) ⚽
21'
Mauro Júnior 🟨
26'
Filip Kostić 🟨
40'
42'
🟨 Anis Hadj Moussa
Kodai Sano 🟨
52'
54'
⚽ Anis Hadj Moussa (Luciano Valente)
66'
🟨 Tsuyoshi Watanabe
Guus Til 🟨
78'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
19
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
9
6
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
PSV Eindhoven (4-2-3-1)
M. Kovář
S. Dest
L. Geertruida
A. Obispo
F. Kostić
K. Sano
Mauro Júnior
E. Bajraktarevic
G. Til
I. Perišić
R. van Bommel
Feyenoord (4-3-3)
T. Ernst
G. Read
T. Watanabe
J. St. Juste
Mika Màrmol
G. Zechiël
C. Vanhoutte
O. Targhalline
A. Hadj-Moussa
Nacho Ferri
L. Valente
Player Ratings ?
PSV Eindhoven
M. KovářG7.6
L. GeertruidaD7.5
S. DestD7.3
Feyenoord
A. Hadj-MoussaF8.2
T. ErnstG7.7
L. ValenteF7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PSV Eindhoven edge head-to-head, Feyenoord edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Feyenoord slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Feyenoord slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PSV Eindhoven have secured four wins and a draw from their last five home outings, while Feyenoord remain unbeaten in their away record over the same span. At home, PSV Eindhoven have scored in each of their last five matches but have managed just two clean sheets during that identical period. PSV Eindhoven face significant availability concerns with four players out and five doubtful, whereas Feyenoord have two players unavailable and five listed as doubtful ahead of the fixture. Feyenoord rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while PSV Eindhoven rate stronger on head-to-head. PSV Eindhoven won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 1 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Feyenoord's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, PSV Eindhoven's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while Feyenoord's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
PSV Eindhoven unbeaten run
15
Feyenoord points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a PSV Eindhoven win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PSV Eindhoven win
Latest market chance 44.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
49.8% → 44.9%
−4.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.5% → 23.6%
+1.1 pts
Feyenoord win
Latest market chance 31.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
27.7% → 31.5%
+3.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Feyenoord
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
2.11
Points/Game
2.56
3.00
Goals/Game
3.44
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.11
19.3
Shots/Game
19.1
7.2
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away Context
PSV Eindhoven at home (7 matches) vs Feyenoord away (7 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
2.29
3.29
Goals/Game
3.43
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.71
71%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Feyenoord
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
4.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PSV Eindhoven Wins
4
Draws
1
Feyenoord Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.0
PSV Eindhoven3 – 0Feyenoord
Feyenoord2 – 3PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord2 – 3PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven3 – 0Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven2 – 2Feyenoord
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PSV Eindhovenvs
Feyenoord
Recent Scoring Profile
2.90
Goals scored / game
3.30
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.2%→Latest 71.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 70.5%→Latest 71.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Feyenoord's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?