Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Head to Head, Prediction
Goffertstadion
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
5.26
Draw
4.96
Away Win
1.54
Match Prediction
Data favours
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving PSV Eindhoven a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PSV Eindhoven slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nijmegen win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.6% → 18.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.4% → 19.4%
±0.0 pts
PSV Eindhoven win
Latest market chance 62.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
62.0% → 62.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nijmegen
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
1st
12
Games Played
12
1.17
Points/Game
2.17
1.67
Goals/Game
3.33
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
16.3
Shots/Game
19.3
4.6
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away Context
Nijmegen at home (6 matches) vs PSV Eindhoven away (6 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
3.17
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nijmegen
Home form
L
D
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PSV Eindhoven
Away form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nijmegen Wins
2
Draws
1
PSV Eindhoven Wins
2
Avg Goals
5.0
PSV Eindhoven2 – 3Nijmegen
Nijmegen3 – 5PSV Eindhoven
Nijmegen3 – 3PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven2 – 0Nijmegen
Nijmegen3 – 1PSV Eindhoven
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nijmegenvs
PSV Eindhoven
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
3.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 72.5%→Latest 72.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.5%→Latest 67.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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