Nijmegen vs For Sittard Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadion de Goffert
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
4.16
Away Win
4.44
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Nijmegen
For Sittard
18'
⚽ Anthony Descotte (Rodrigo Guth)
Kevin Kers (Dennis Geiger) ⚽
28'
38'
🟨 Shiloh 't Zand
48'
⚽ Anthony Descotte (Shiloh 't Zand)
54'
🟨 Rodrigo Guth
Mitchel Bakker •
90'
Willum Thor Willumsson (Perr Schuurs) ⚽
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
74%
Ball Possession
26%
24
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
3
13
Corner Kicks
0
11
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
G. Crettaz
T. Storm
A. Kaplan
Deveron Fonville
Kevin Kers
D. Nejašmić
D. Geiger
Jamiro Monteiro
N. Lebreton
Clement Bischoff
B. Linssen
For Sittard (5-3-2)
M. Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto
S. van Ottele
Rodrigo Guth
P. Brittijn
Justin Quincy Hubner
S. Simons
É. Michut
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
A. Descotte
L. Zeefuik
Player Ratings ?
Nijmegen
Kevin KersM8.1
D. GeigerM7.7
W. WillumssonM7.5
For Sittard
A. DescotteF9.0
Rodrigo GuthD6.7
M. BranderhorstG6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nijmegen edge defence, For Sittard edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
For Sittard stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nijmegen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
For Sittard stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
For Sittard arrive with an encouraging recent record of three wins and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, whereas Nijmegen have struggled at home with just one victory in that same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but remain without a clean sheet during that period. Both squads carry significant selection concerns, with Nijmegen listing three out and two doubtful options while For Sittard have three unavailable players and one in doubt. For Sittard rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Nijmegen hold a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. For Sittard won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 28 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Nijmegen's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Nijmegen's implied win probability has fallen by 9.3 percentage points, while For Sittard's implied win probability has risen by 5.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Nijmegen
Nijmegen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nijmegen win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nijmegen win
Latest market chance 56.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
65.6% → 56.3%
−9.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
19.4% → 22.9%
+3.5 pts
For Sittard win
Latest market chance 20.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
15.0% → 20.9%
+5.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
15 snapshots
+9.5+4.750−4.75Oct 4Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nijmegen
Draw
For Sittard
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nijmegen
For Sittard
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.75
1.62
Goals/Game
1.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.88
16.3
Shots/Game
9.8
4.6
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Nijmegen at home (6 matches) vs For Sittard away (6 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
2.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nijmegen
Home form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
For Sittard
Away form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nijmegen Wins
2
Draws
1
For Sittard Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
2026-02-282025-2026
Nijmegen2 – 3For Sittard
2025-08-312025-2026
For Sittard3 – 2Nijmegen
2025-01-192024-2025
Nijmegen4 – 1For Sittard
2024-08-312024-2025
For Sittard0 – 3Nijmegen
2024-04-022023-2024
For Sittard1 – 1Nijmegen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nijmegen
vs
For Sittard
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
83.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
64.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
44.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.6%→Latest 64.1%−6.5 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.2%→Latest 62.8%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Nijmegen's 10 matches and 2 of For Sittard's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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