Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.30
Draw
4.46
Away Win
1.74
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 3
Match Events ?
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
25'
⚽ Anis Hadj Moussa (Nacho Ferri)
31'
⚽ (P) Nacho Ferri
Robin Veldman 🟨
32'
Maas Willemsen ⚽
45+3'
Levi Smans (marcus linday) ⚽
47'
Ringo Meerveld ⚽
61'
Levi Smans 🟨
68'
69'
⚽ Sem Steijn (Nacho Ferri)
Ringo Meerveld (Jacob Trenskow) ⚽
84'
Ringo Meerveld (Luca Oyen) ⚽
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
18
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
B. Klaverboer
O. Braude
S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
M. Linday
N. Courtens
J. Trenskow
L. Smans
M. Rivera
D. Vente
Feyenoord (4-3-3)
T. Ernst
G. Read
T. Watanabe
Mika Màrmol
Javi López
G. Zechiël
C. Vanhoutte
O. Targhalline
A. Hadj-Moussa
Nacho Ferri
L. Valente
Player Ratings ?
Heerenveen
R. MeerveldM9.0
M. WillemsenD7.2
L. SmansM7.0
Feyenoord
Nacho FerriF8.0
S. SteijnM7.3
A. Hadj-MoussaF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Heerenveen edge defence, Feyenoord edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heerenveen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Feyenoord have enjoyed an impressive away run in their last five outings with four wins and a solitary draw, while Heerenveen have picked up two victories from the same number of home fixtures but also suffered two defeats during that identical span. At home, Heerenveen have found the net in three of their last five matches yet remain vulnerable to conceding goals, having kept just three clean sheets during that same period. Feyenoord rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Heerenveen hold a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 11 January 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Heerenveen's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Feyenoord's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Feyenoord unbeaten run
13
Feyenoord points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Heerenveen
Heerenveen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Heerenveen win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Feyenoord remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Heerenveen win
Latest market chance 22.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.4% → 22.1%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 22.1%
+0.3 pts
Feyenoord win
Latest market chance 55.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
54.8% → 55.8%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Heerenveen
Draw
Feyenoord
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HeerenveenFeyenoord
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
1st
11
Games Played
11
1.64
Points/Game
2.27
1.73
Goals/Game
3.00
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.09
15.0
Shots/Game
19.1
5.8
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away Context
Heerenveen at home (7 matches) vs Feyenoord away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
2.29
1.86
Goals/Game
3.43
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.71
57%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Heerenveen
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Feyenoord
Away form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Heerenveen Wins
1
Draws
1
Feyenoord Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Heerenveen2 – 2Feyenoord
Feyenoord1 – 0Heerenveen
Heerenveen2 – 0Feyenoord
Feyenoord3 – 0Heerenveen
Heerenveen2 – 3Feyenoord
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heerenveenvs
Feyenoord
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
3.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.6%→Latest 68.0%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.7%→Latest 66.2%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?