Groningen vs Heerenveen Head to Head, Prediction

Euroborg
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.98
Away Win
2.94
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Groningen edge head-to-head, Heerenveen edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Groningen stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Groningen win
Latest market chance 43.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.2% → 43.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.1%
−0.2 pts
Heerenveen win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.6% → 32.6%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 7Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Groningen
Draw
Heerenveen
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Groningen
Heerenveen
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
6th
12
Games Played
12
1.25
Points/Game
1.75
2.42
Goals/Game
2.00
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
14.3
Shots/Game
15.0
5.8
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Groningen at home (6 matches) vs Heerenveen away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.33
2.17
Goals/Game
1.83
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Groningen
Home form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Heerenveen
Away form
D
W
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Groningen Wins
3
Draws
0
Heerenveen Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-01-182025-2026
Heerenveen0 – 2Groningen
2025-08-162025-2026
Groningen2 – 1Heerenveen
2025-01-252024-2025
Groningen1 – 0Heerenveen
2024-09-222024-2025
Heerenveen2 – 1Groningen
2023-03-192022-2023
Groningen0 – 2Heerenveen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Groningen
vs
Heerenveen
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
84.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
66.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
46.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
67.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.5%→Latest 66.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.3%→Latest 67.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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