Groningen vs Ajax Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Ajax arrive with an impressive away record of four wins and a single draw from their last five outings, while Groningen have secured three victories at home alongside one draw and a solitary defeat in the same span. At home, Groningen have found the net in every one of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Both squads face significant rotation challenges ahead of kickoff, with four players unavailable for Groningen and a further five missing from Ajax's matchday squad. Groningen rate stronger on form, while Ajax rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Ajax won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 21 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Groningen's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Groningen's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points, while Ajax's implied win probability has fallen by 5.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.