Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
De Adelaarshorst
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.73
Draw
4.16
Away Win
4.46
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
23'
⚽ Milan Zonneveld (Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi)
49'
🟨 Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
Mathis Suray (Dean Ruben James) ⚽
50'
59'
🟨 Cedric Hatenboer
Milan Zonneveld ⚽ (OG)
60'
61'
⚽ Lushendry Martes (Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi)
Søren Tengstedt (Melle Meulensteen) ⚽
75'
81'
🟨 Lushendry Martes
84'
⚽ Casper Terho
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Goal
8
9
Corner Kicks
6
4
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Go Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
K. Haug
A. Sampsted
G. van Zwam
J. Kramer
D. James
M. Meulensteen
E. Linthorst
S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
S. Sigurðarson
Sparta Rotterdam (4-1-4-1)
M. Brouwer
L. Martes
M. Young
B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers
N. Verschuren
Robin van Cruijsen
J. Toornstra
Cedric Hatenboer
I. Babadi
M. Zonneveld
Player Ratings ?
Go Ahead Eagles
M. SurayM7.8
M. MeulensteenM7.7
S. TengstedtM7.7
Sparta Rotterdam
I. BabadiM8.3
C. TerhoF8.2
L. MartesD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Go Ahead Eagles have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Sparta Rotterdam have recorded just a single win across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. The hosts at Go Ahead Eagles have found the net in four of their last five matches, though they have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Go Ahead Eagles face two confirmed absences ahead of this fixture, whereas Sparta Rotterdam will be without just a single player. Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 22-day comparison window, Go Ahead Eagles's implied win probability has risen by 4.5 percentage points, while Sparta Rotterdam's implied win probability has fallen by 3.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Go Ahead Eagles win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 53.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.5% → 53.8%
+4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.7%
−0.5 pts
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
26.3% → 22.4%
−3.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Go Ahead Eagles
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
0.71
2.29
Goals/Game
1.43
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.43
14.4
Shots/Game
13.9
5.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Go Ahead Eagles at home (5 matches) vs Sparta Rotterdam away (6 matches)
2.20
Points/Game
1.17
2.80
Goals/Game
2.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.50
60%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Go Ahead Eagles
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sparta Rotterdam
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
3
Draws
1
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Sparta Rotterdam2 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles0 – 3Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam1 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam0 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
Sparta Rotterdam
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded / game
2.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.9%→Latest 67.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.7%→Latest 66.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Go Ahead Eagles's 10 matches and 3 of Sparta Rotterdam's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?