For Sittard vs Excelsior Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 11:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.95
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
For Sittard
Excelsior
Sven Simons 🟨
41'
Shiloh 't Zand 🟨
58'
68'
🟨 Irakli Yegoian
Rodrigo Guth (Mohammed Ihattaren) ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
7
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
For Sittard (4-3-3)
M. Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto
Rodrigo Guth
Justin Quincy Hubner
N. de Groot
P. Brittijn
S. van Ottele
É. Michut
K. Peterson
S. Simons
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Excelsior (4-3-3)
S. van Gassel
R. Meissen
C. Widell
J. Plug
K. Bos
N. Naujoks
L. Hartjes
D. van Vianen
A. Sliti
N. Groen
I. Yegoian
Player Ratings ?
For Sittard
Justin Quincy HubnerD8.0
Rodrigo GuthD7.9
S. van OtteleM7.3
Excelsior
C. WidellD7.4
R. MeissenD6.9
S. van GasselG6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. For Sittard edge recent form and head-to-head, Excelsior edge attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
For Sittard stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Excelsior slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
For Sittard stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Excelsior have secured two victories from their last five away outings, while For Sittard have registered two wins and one draw in their most recent five home fixtures. For Sittard have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. The hosts face three confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful ahead of the match. For Sittard rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Excelsior hold a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. For Sittard won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 20 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Excelsior's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, For Sittard's implied win probability has risen by 4.4 percentage points, while Excelsior's implied win probability has fallen by 5.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Excelsior
Excelsior's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Excelsior win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
For Sittard win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.5% → 35.9%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.2% → 27.5%
+2.3 pts
Excelsior win
Latest market chance 36.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.4% → 36.5%
−2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
For Sittard
Draw
Excelsior
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
For SittardExcelsior
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
12th
9
Games Played
9
1.67
Points/Game
1.22
1.78
Goals/Game
1.78
1.89
Conceded/Game
2.00
9.8
Shots/Game
10.0
4.3
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
For Sittard at home (6 matches) vs Excelsior away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.83
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
For Sittard
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Excelsior
Away form
W
W
D
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
For Sittard Wins
2
Draws
1
Excelsior Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
For Sittard2 – 1Excelsior
Excelsior1 – 0For Sittard
For Sittard5 – 2Excelsior
Excelsior2 – 2For Sittard
Excelsior3 – 0For Sittard
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
For Sittardvs
Excelsior
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 54.6%−7.9 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.8%→Latest 59.4%−5.4 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of For Sittard's 10 matches and 1 of Excelsior's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?