Feyenoord vs Excelsior Head to Head, Prediction
De Kuip
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.16
Draw
8.37
Away Win
11.79
Match Prediction
Data favours
Feyenoord
Feyenoord rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Feyenoord a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Feyenoord stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Feyenoord
Feyenoord's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Feyenoord win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Feyenoord win
Latest market chance 82.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
83.9% → 82.4%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
10.3% → 11.2%
+0.9 pts
Excelsior win
Latest market chance 6.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
5.8% → 6.5%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Feyenoord
Draw
Excelsior
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FeyenoordExcelsior
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
15th
12
Games Played
12
2.08
Points/Game
0.92
3.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.42
Conceded/Game
2.42
19.1
Shots/Game
10.0
7.8
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Feyenoord at home (5 matches) vs Excelsior away (6 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.33
2.40
Goals/Game
1.83
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
40%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Feyenoord
Home form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Excelsior
Away form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Feyenoord Wins
5
Draws
0
Excelsior Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Feyenoord2 – 1Excelsior
Excelsior1 – 2Feyenoord
Feyenoord4 – 0Excelsior
Excelsior2 – 4Feyenoord
Excelsior0 – 2Feyenoord
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Feyenoordvs
Excelsior
Recent Scoring Profile
3.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.2%→Latest 72.0%−4.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 50.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?